Not a great sattelite presentation

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:35 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... VIS/20.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

With this kind of sat appearance I dont think that recon will go out there this afternoon but maybe they may go to comply with the itinerary of the mission.The low is exposed away from the moderate not deep convection to it's SW and as long it stays that way no development will take place.

Toni - 574 · #2 Postby **Toni - 574** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:04 am

Yeah Cyc doesn't look all that great this AM does it? We'll just have to wait and see how this thing comes together. It could turn out to be a potientally exciting system. :roll:

ameriwx2003 · #3 Postby **ameriwx2003** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:19 am

This system doesn't look to me like anything will come out of it .Some heavy surf and gusty winds( from pressure gradient). I would be surprised to see this become a named system

:)

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:41 am

If they send the plane out. Hopefully they'll find something. It'd be nice to see 1 last late season bang before the season goes dead in 4 weeks.

chadtm80 · #5 Postby **chadtm80** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:05 am

I agree CYC.. Seas off the coast here today are 8-11 feet though, and some NASTY rip currents

Josephine96 · #6 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:57 am

Hey Chad. I have always been told our "nasty" rip currents are nothing compared to what they are like further up the Atlantic Coast. I wonder if there is any truth to that lol

#7 Postby **wxman57** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 10:10 am

On the other hand, "Nicholas" looked exactly like this for 3 days and was STILL classified as a TS by the NHC. That's consistency...

One thing I can't figure is calling this thing Nicholas, though. This is basically a very large frontal low that absorbed the MUCH smaller tiny swirl that was Nicholas a few days ago. The only thing left of Nicholas is the small amount of additional moisture that was entrained into the huge fronta low. TD 7 was clearly a continuation of TD 6, yet it got a new name. I just can't figure the NHC out any more.....

Josephine96 · #8 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 10:11 am

WXman.. I can't figure the NHC out sometimes either. That's why I'm not afraid to bash them sometimes lol..

Stormsfury · #9 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 11:48 am

wxman57 wrote:On the other hand, "Nicholas" looked exactly like this for 3 days and was STILL classified as a TS by the NHC. That's consistency...

One thing I can't figure is calling this thing Nicholas, though. This is basically a very large frontal low that absorbed the MUCH smaller tiny swirl that was Nicholas a few days ago. The only thing left of Nicholas is the small amount of additional moisture that was entrained into the huge fronta low. TD 7 was clearly a continuation of TD 6, yet it got a new name. I just can't figure the NHC out any more.....

I can understand the concerns of the consistency issues. I share those concerns. But the tropical wave that spawned both #6 and #7 had split in two large pieces ... with the energy that dissipated (#6) moving west and the second piece of that wave split to the NW and became #7 (very little wind, but very heavy rain and thunderstorms)

SF

#10 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 1:47 pm

Nothing has changed from this mornings sat pics as no organization is seen as the low is exposed and the moderate convection not deep convection is displaced from the low.

Not a great sattelite presentation

Not a great sattelite presentation

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