ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[N2FSU]

Tornado threat increasing.


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[tropicwatch]

HH was scheduled to take off around 5 haven't seen anything yet.

[GCANE]

Violent tornado potential is just about onshore

[FLpanhandle91]

HH was scheduled to take off around 5 haven't seen anything yet.

They are on the way. Just south of Lake Charles heading east.

[Bamagirl2408]

Local Mobile area mets on 2 channels flipping back and forth still thinking up Mobile Bay (eastern shore side) as highest likely landfall.

[FLpanhandle91]

Violent tornado potential is just about onshore

https://i.imgur.com/vGE48SA.gif

GCANE you seem to have a knack for micro to mesoscale forecasting/observation.

[cheezyWXguy]

Sally may be trying to strengthen again. Winds aloft in the NE quad have jumped.

[tropicwatch]

HH was scheduled to take off around 5 haven't seen anything yet.

They are on the way. Just south of Lake Charles heading east.

GE screwing up, not showing up on it.

[DestinHurricane]

Am I the only one seeing a NE motion?

[FLpanhandle91]

Recon is getting there at a great time. Structure is improving and velocities are on the rise. Large eye looking warmer and drier. Curious to see this center fixes since its so difficult ascertaining movement on radar.

[cheezyWXguy]

Am I the only one seeing a NE motion?

It's generally just looping in place, not a whole lot of aggregate motion still.

[cheezyWXguy]

Recon is getting there at a great time. Structure is improving and velocities are on the rise. Large eye looking warmer and drier. Curious to see this center fixes since its so difficult ascertaining movement on radar.

Agreed, but the eye actually isn't as wide as it looks on radar. That moat on the sw side, now rotating to the south, makes it look larger. As of 5:47PM CDT, it looks like we have the northern 2/3 of an eyewall, about 20 miles in diameter.

[HeeBGBz]

I think this comes in Fort Morgan. Any other landfall predictions?

MS/Alabama State Line, on the Alabama side! Who knows, just a guess.

Al/ Fla line just east of there. my guess

Ocean Springs, MS

[DestinHurricane]

MS/Alabama State Line, on the Alabama side! Who knows, just a guess.

Al/ Fla line just east of there. my guess

Ocean Springs, MS

Why Ocean Springs? It would have to start moving NW which is not forecast to happen.

[lovingseason2013]

MS/Alabama State Line, on the Alabama side! Who knows, just a guess.

Al/ Fla line just east of there. my guess

Ocean Springs, MS

Is this just a random guess, as there is nothing showing that at all.

[bahamaswx]

Al/ Fla line just east of there. my guess

Ocean Springs, MS

Is this just a random guess, as there is nothing showing that at all.

Location: Biloxi, MS

[Gums]

Salute!

For those "amused" by the indecision of Miss Sally, go see Elena of 1985 vintage.
We had just moved to the Destin/Ft Walton area and she turned towards us and went to cat 3 briefly, then went to a spot near Cedar Key and hovered for two days berore scooting to west and hitting near Biloxi.

Gums sends....

[FLpanhandle91]

Recon is getting there at a great time. Structure is improving and velocities are on the rise. Large eye looking warmer and drier. Curious to see this center fixes since its so difficult ascertaining movement on radar.

Agreed, but the eye actually isn't as wide as it looks on radar. That moat on the sw side, now rotating to the south, makes it look larger. As of 5:47PM CDT, it looks like we have the northern 2/3 of an eyewall, about 20 miles in diameter.

Indeed. The the eyewall that is there does look the best it ever has though.

[smw1981]

Definitely getting some good gusts in Mobile now.. I would say the wind has picked up considerably in the last hour..

[StPeteMike]

We should start seeing a northeast movement shortly with Sally. I’ve noticed storms and more moderate rain being allowed to enter the Nature Coast and Tampa Bay in the last couple hours, should mean the door is opening for it to start the process of heading out tonight into the morning.