ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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gfsperpendicular
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2981 Postby gfsperpendicular » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:12 pm

That last dropsonde shows Cat 3 winds at the 969mb level, just 18mb off the ground.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2982 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:13 pm

edu2703 wrote:https://i.imgur.com/JYeNlP0.gif

Eye is clearing out

That's pretty good looking for a cat 1. Praying for everyone affected by this
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2983 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:13 pm

Pressure of 972mb by dropsodne, not as low as extrap showed.

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2984 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:14 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Where is landfall looking now?


I'd say Florabama give or take 10 miles W/E. Stay safe Ivanhater!


Thanks again yall. The worst seems offshore but can't tell overall where it is going.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2985 Postby BobHarlem » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:14 pm

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2986 Postby gfsperpendicular » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:15 pm

NDG wrote:Pressure of 972mb by dropsodne, not as low as extrap showed.

https://i.imgur.com/VWuyLUr.png


That drop supports 971 and extraps 970 so not far off.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2987 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:17 pm

I see Sally is continuing Michael's curse which is for systems to strengthen all the way until landfall. Prayers for those in its path.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2988 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:17 pm

Believe NHC goes 85kt at 1000PM CDT if trends continue.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2989 Postby us89 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:17 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Believe NHC goes 85kt at 1000PM CDT if trends continue.


I can see 80 kt, but they'd probably want to see more than that dropsonde to go to 85.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2990 Postby SconnieCane » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:18 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Hot tower alert

https://i.imgur.com/2J2aeeB.gif


Even I (who tends to be somewhat bullish with storms, the polar opposite of WxMan57) thought the HWRF's sim IR depiction was a tad farfetched, but when all is said and done it may not be too far off. :double:
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2991 Postby TallahasseeMan » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:19 pm

Another win for the HWRF


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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2992 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:19 pm

Remember that dropsonde is susceptible to gusts.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2993 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:20 pm

us89 wrote:
FLpanhandle91 wrote:Believe NHC goes 85kt at 1000PM CDT if trends continue.


I can see 80 kt, but they'd probably want to see more than that dropsonde to go to 85.

Didn't they revise the first 85 kts down to 80? So technically it hasn't ever reached cat 2 yet? Or did I misread that this morning when it was posted
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2994 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:21 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Remember that dropsonde is susceptible to gusts.


I remember that Laura NE eyewall dropsonde.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2995 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:23 pm

That Sally girl is not in a hurry to move inland.

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2996 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:26 pm

Banding increasing south of the southern eyewall. First time I think I've seen banding in this area on Sally. Best looking cat1 Ive seen in a while, and a massive increase in organization since this morning.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2997 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:28 pm

I'd go with 80 kt given all the data so far. The dropsonde is probably a gust.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2998 Postby SconnieCane » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:29 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:Banding increasing south of the southern eyewall. First time I think I've seen banding in this area on Sally. Best looking cat1 Ive seen in a while, and a massive increase in organization since this morning.


Best looking Cat. 1 since Hanna. :lol: Both well-formed hurricanes. Sally is no Barry or Isaias.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2999 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:30 pm

With this saturated ground, trees will be coming down everywhere when it comes ashore.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3000 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:33 pm

I think it’s finally time for her to get a nickname: Slow-as-**** Sally. This storm’s refusal to move is astonishing.
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