ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Dean4Storms]

This is crazy, lots of people from Navarre to Destin will be caught off guard come morning. Thinking lots of rain and now another big threat wind and surge most were not expecting at all!!!!

[Hypercane_Kyle]

112 knot gust supports 90-95 knots on the surface, unless that dropsonde got sucked into a waterspout or something.

[tropicwatch]

It seems that Sally may have very slightly picked up movement. Looks as if she could landfall within the next 3 to 4 hours.

I noticed that too but it seems she might have put the breaks on again.

[EquusStorm]

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1306105906564915200

[wx98]

I wonder if It could even make it to Cat 4 at this point. Still has another 11 hours ( 7 maybe with no real land interaction) left.

It doesn’t have 11 hours. It has maybe 3-4. I doubt it’ll make Cat 4, it’ll be a stretch to get Cat 3.

[northjaxpro]

112 knot gust supports 90-95 knots on the surface, unless that dropsonde got sucked into a waterspout or something.

It is very close to Cat 3 status imo from the last recent reports from Recon.

[CrazyC83]

112 knot gust supports 90-95 knots on the surface, unless that dropsonde got sucked into a waterspout or something.

It is very close to Cat 3 status imo from yhe last recent reports from Recon.

90 kt seems like the best estimate, although a case could be made for 95 kt.

[wx98]

112 knot gust supports 90-95 knots on the surface, unless that dropsonde got sucked into a waterspout or something.

It is very close to Cat 3 status imo from yhe last recent reports from Recon.

90 kt seems like the best estimate, although a case could be made for 95 kt.

I agree with that as well.

[ConvergenceZone]

Looking at the weather channel radar, they mentioned eyewall is about ready to come ashore. It definitely looks like it's sped up compared to earlier

[Dean4Storms]

The worse of the surge will be that right front quadrant of the eyewall, which will be Pensacola east to Destin.

Yea, with such a big eye the eyewall and core will hit P'Cola to Destin hard and people over this way went to bed with no idea. Could rival Ivan!

[cheezyWXguy]

I think sally will peak within the next hour, if it isn’t peaking now. Evidence of shear starting to show up on the sw edge on satellite. My unofficial prediction is a landfall intensity at 110mph, possibly upgraded in post storm analysis

[EquusStorm]

Just absolutely surreal, woke up to a sloppy barely category one heading for Pascagoula and ending the night with essentially a major hurricane meat grinder sitting over my 'second home' on the AL coast... this is a scenario I honestly never could have imagined

This recent trend of stuff RI'ing right at the Gulf Coast is very paranoia-inducing...

[wx98]

The edge of the northern eyewall is currently impacting Fort Morgan and Gulf Shores per radar. Edge of eye is 9.5 miles from land between FM and GS, 13 mile from GUlf Shores proper.

[ClarCari]

I think sally will peak within the next hour, if it isn’t peaking now. Evidence of shear starting to show up on the sw edge on satellite. My unofficial prediction is a landfall intensity at 110mph, possibly upgraded in post storm analysis

To early to start asserting this at this time.
I’m waiting for that special advisory that’s cooking..

[northjaxpro]

The worse of the surge will be that right front quadrant of the eyewall, which will be Pensacola east to Destin.

Yea, with such a big eye the eyewall and core will hit P'Cola to Destin hard and people over this way went to bed with no idea. Could rival Ivan!

Sadly, I agree

[Sanibel]

Reed Timmer is Livestreaming....Good eyewall winds on him...

Wonder how DeanforStorms is doing?...

[cheezyWXguy]

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1306105906564915200

Considering how strong winds in the lowest levels of that dropsonde, compared to the levels above it, I am wondering just how much reduction there really is between what is being observed on radar and what is occurring at the surface

[cheezyWXguy]

I think sally will peak within the next hour, if it isn’t peaking now. Evidence of shear starting to show up on the sw edge on satellite. My unofficial prediction is a landfall intensity at 110mph, possibly upgraded in post storm analysis

To early to start asserting this at this time.
I’m waiting for that special advisory that’s cooking..

I am not asserting, just giving a personal, unofficial prediction

[emeraldislenc]

Can anyone share links to live streams or Pensacola tv station doing live broadcast?

[ClarCari]

I think sally will peak within the next hour, if it isn’t peaking now. Evidence of shear starting to show up on the sw edge on satellite. My unofficial prediction is a landfall intensity at 110mph, possibly upgraded in post storm analysis

To early to start asserting this at this time.
I’m waiting for that special advisory that’s cooking..

I am not asserting, just giving a personal, unofficial prediction

I got you
I’m just thinking it’s best to wait for landfall considering how insane all this has been happening.