ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Sanibel]

https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmer2.0/ ... SEARCH_BOX

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XmhppXBnriY

[Beef Stew]

1:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 16
Location: 29.9°N 87.8°W
Moving: NNE at 2 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph

[ElectricStorm]

1:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 16
Location: 29.9°N 87.8°W
Moving: NNE at 2 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph

Seems reasonable

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Up to 105 mph.

Category 3 is very possible.

[wx98]

105 mph is on par with what I was thinking. The northern eyewall is running out of time but we could squeeze 110 out of this.

[EquusStorm]

Fort Morgan is no doubt taking a severe blow. Luckily the winds are easterly right now which may help keep surge from being as extreme as it could be because that road is extremely low and floods/washes out pretty easily. All the new construction in Gulf Shores/Orange Beach since Ivan definitely going to be put to the test, but I desperately hope this isn't another catastrophe.

[northjaxpro]

She just may make it to Cat 3 right when making landfall. AMAZING!!

[ElectricStorm]

Up to 105 mph.

Category 3 is very possible.

They stated an update to the intensity forecast coming in 15 minutes. Could possibly have it at 115 mph at landfall

[Beef Stew]

Definitely curious to see the wording in the upcoming special advisory.

[Aric Dunn]

If you all were watching the my stream (i will be back on soon).

94.9 mph 5 sec gust. So far ..

Not in the eyewall yet.RGht front quad

[EquusStorm]

Also some hints of mesovortices in the eyewall, sign of high intensity and intensification... yeah this is a terrifying situation that I fear few were prepared for.

[ClarCari]

I’d doubt they’ed have an intensity update if they thought this thing didn’t have enough time to get to Cat.3 before landfall.

[TallahasseeMan]

Unless it stalls back out and doesn’t landfall until morning, I don’t think it’s gonna make it to a 3. Still an incredible intensification from a very weak cat 1 hurricane this morning to an extremely dangerous cat 2 by nighttime.


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[cfisher]

Theoretically the storm could continue to strengthen until the CoC moves ashore, which is what Michael was able to achieve. It will need to keep rotating convection upshear, which is how Michael managed to strengthen up to landfall.

[ClarCari]

The larger eye can make it look a bit more closer to landfall than it actually is compared to a smaller eye btw

[rigbyrigz]

Amazing late bloomer this Sally. Just when I was thinking it was bedtime here in the Big Bend. Pretty wet n windy, even squally, over here. But thoughts and prayers with those West of here, of course.

[Dean4Storms]

I need some stronger coffee.

[northjaxpro]

If you all were watching the my stream (i will be back on soon).

94.9 mph 5 sec gust. So far ..

Not in the eyewall yet.RGht front quad

Yeah Aric it is coming at you for sure. Buckle up and stay safe!!

[cfisher]

We'll see if it can wrap this convection on the NW side all the way around.

[wx98]

The larger eye can make it look a bit more closer to landfall than it actually is compared to a smaller eye btw

The actual center is still roughly 25 miles out. So it’ll be a little longer still. Probably 3-4 more hours.