TWO=Sub-tropical or tropical cyclone at any time

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 11:14 am

http://www.hwn.org/hawt20us.htm

I suspect that recon wont go this afternoon.

Josephine96 · #2 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 11:34 am

I disagree Luis. I think they will.. They may not find anything worthy lol but I think they will.. We shall wait and see. 4pm eastern is about 4 hours away.

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 1:44 pm

Sat pics this afternoon are not different from this morning in other words not organized and no deep convection wrapping around that low so I agree with the TWO.

ColdFront77 · #4 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 2:06 pm

Agreeing with the Tropical Weather Outlook and the "Plan of the Day" saying recon. is planned for 4:00pm EST "are two different things," wouldn't you say?

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 5:22 pm

At the 5:30 PM outlook they up the wording a tad.But the global models are not too bullish than before as Stormsfury has posted in another thread but let's see the next runs from them to see a trend towards a weak system or otherwise.

OtherHD · #6 Postby **OtherHD** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 5:29 pm

Wow, so much for "Dr. Tropical Death" :-?

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 5:45 pm

Looks like more wet weather for florida :eek:

ColdFront77 · #8 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 5:57 pm

Great, we could use it after the dry spell. This is the beginning of our dry season. The more rainfall we see, [compared to normal], from mid October to May the better.

There was a very small shower to my northeast this afternoon that moved southwestward, I could see the rain shaft to my west as it slowly moved.

The cloud was very dark, looked like a thunderstorm, but there was only one lightning strike in the entire U.S., (southern Canada and northern Mexico, western Atlantic and eastern Pacific between 1:00pm EST and 3:00pm EST. It also got very breeze for about ten minutes; along with the breezy day that has existed all day.

Rainband · #9 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 5:59 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:Great, we could use it after the dry spell. This is the beginning of our dry season. The more rainfall we see, [compared to normal], from mid October to May the better.

There was a very small shower to my northeast this afternoon that moved southwestward, I could see the rain shaft to my west as it slowly moved.

The cloud was very dark, looked like a thunderstorm, but there was only one lightning strike in the entire U.S., (southern Canada and northern Mexico, western Atlantic and eastern Pacific between 1:00pm EST and 3:00pm EST. It also got very breeze for about ten minutes; along with the breezy day that has existed all day.

I agree TOM. Seems like in the TWO. It says wsw or w. seems like the sw thinking is fading..maybe it may hit near the space coast as the models showed earlier?? This is the tropics..anything is possible :eek:

Stormsfury · #10 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:39 pm

OtherHD wrote:Wow, so much for "Dr. Tropical Death" :-?

He lost that title this year ... let's see ... Tropical Depression #9, Grace, etc... shall I go on?

SF

Stormsfury · #11 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:42 pm

Subtropical Development would be the best bet ... this system is very much being dynamically enhanced by that southerly jet streak easily seen on IR and WV imagery. Possible tropical development? Yes.

But the environment, I repeat is "CYCLONIC", not anticyclonic aloft!!!

SF

#12 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Nov 02, 2003 5:48 am

The 5:30 AM outlook now says a sub-tropical or tropical cyclone later today so let's see what happens and if recon will go later today as the plan of the day said yesterday.

Josephine96 · #13 Postby **Josephine96** » Sun Nov 02, 2003 8:50 am

Hmm... So we could be just hours from "Odette".. Lets wait and see what happens as she tries to develop and push closer to us..

TWO=Sub-tropical or tropical cyclone at any time

TWO=Sub-tropical or tropical cyclone at any time

Who is online