Ironic Huh

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Vortex
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Ironic Huh

#1 Postby Vortex » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:37 pm

It's just so fitting....the storms that grab all the attention in fl very rarely have any impact. Those that get very minimal coverage ala Irene in 99' I beleive produced significant flooding, serious coastal flooding,wind damage and power outages to 500,000 thousand+ but we were warned only minimal effects 12 hours before Irene ravaged S.Fl. Not saying this will be significant but latest imagery definetely warrants at least some coverage. Even NWS should of put out a special statement just so the public isn't blind-sided.
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Re: Ironic Huh

#2 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:38 pm

Vortex wrote:It's just so fitting....the storms that grab all the attention in fl very rarely have any impact. Those that get very minimal coverage ala Irene in 99' I beleive produced significant flooding, serious coastal flooding,wind damage and power outages to 500,000 thousand+ but we were warned only minimal effects 12 hours before Irene ravaged S.Fl. Not saying this will be significant but latest imagery definetely warrants at least some coverage. Even NWS should of put out a special statement just so the public isn't blind-sided.


That I do agree with ... There's no reason ANYONE should be at the least caught off guard for some inclimate weather ...
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Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:44 pm

I agree.. Miami, Melbourne and Ruskin/Tampa should probably all put out special statements.. This storm or whatever you wanna call it could hit Central or South Florida.

Waiting and seeing :)
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The way it's set up now...

#4 Postby hial2 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:59 pm

Seems that the most likely area for landfall, arrival or whatever you want to call it, will be south of Palm Beach
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Re: The way it's set up now...

#5 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:01 pm

hial2 wrote:Seems that the most likely area for landfall, arrival or whatever you want to call it, will be south of Palm Beach


To add, remember with this system, I'd expect most of the significant weather to be north of the system.

SF
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Rainband

Re: The way it's set up now...

#6 Postby Rainband » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:01 pm

hial2 wrote:Seems that the most likely area for landfall, arrival or whatever you want to call it, will be south of Palm Beach
Not according to the TWO.
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Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:03 pm

All right then Rainband.. aka smart alec lol.. just kidding..

Where does the TWO say a potential landfall could be..?

I know I could just read it myself lol but I'm just curious..
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Re: The way it's set up now...

#8 Postby hial2 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:06 pm

Rainband wrote:
hial2 wrote:Seems that the most likely area for landfall, arrival or whatever you want to call it, will be south of Palm Beach
Not according to the TWO.


The TWO mentions north Bahamas southward...but as we know, weather can and does change, so anything is possible a couple of days out
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Josephine96

#9 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:08 pm

Yes you're right Hial. The weather is always changing..Beautiful day here but very breezy
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Rainband

Re: The way it's set up now...

#10 Postby Rainband » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:12 pm

hial2 wrote:
Rainband wrote:
hial2 wrote:Seems that the most likely area for landfall, arrival or whatever you want to call it, will be south of Palm Beach
Not according to the TWO.


The TWO mentions north Bahamas southward...but as we know, weather can and does change, so anything is possible a couple of days out
ABNT20 KNHC 012215
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EST SAT NOV 1 2003

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AND COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS. BECAUSE THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SINCE YESTERDAY...THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE AT ANY TIME. EVEN IF IT DOES NOT
DEVELOP...THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
OR WEST AND BRING HEAVY SQUALLS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS
AND FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT2 AND WMO HEADER FZNT02 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA seems to say "the system" will affect the northern bahamas..so my bet would be due to the wsw or west instead of sw as previously forecast...it will be more north :wink:
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Josephine96

#11 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 8:14 pm

Thank you Rainband for your analysis.. or should I say the NHC's lol
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Rainband

Re: The way it's set up now...

#12 Postby Rainband » Sun Nov 02, 2003 6:21 am

hial2 wrote:
Rainband wrote:
hial2 wrote:Seems that the most likely area for landfall, arrival or whatever you want to call it, will be south of Palm Beach
Not according to the TWO.


The TWO mentions north Bahamas southward...but as we know, weather can and does change, so anything is possible a couple of days out
The satellite pics this morning..seem to support a southern florida "landfall" if you wanna call it that :lol: Guess we shall see :)
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Josephine96

#13 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Nov 02, 2003 9:29 am

Yes Rainband.. I guess you're right.. Probably some rain for us Central Floridians too..
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