What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
Tropical Storm Mu. Because NHC will continue naming storms until the cows come home
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
Hurricane Mike wrote:Lambda
Omega Moo
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
my wild guess is that we get 2 more this month, 5 in Oct and 2 in Nov... bringing us to Lambda.
but hey, Hurricane Pi would be something indeed!
but hey, Hurricane Pi would be something indeed!
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
I voted on Sigma, since that is the last option, I think we could see systems all the way through December.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
Since it's 2020... Hurricane Pi is named on December 31, meanders around in the north Atlantic and becomes the longest lived TC on record, dissipating on March 14th
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
Weather Dude wrote:Since it's 2020... Hurricane Pi is named on December 31, meanders around in the north Atlantic and becomes the longest lived TC on record, dissipating on March 14th
Ah, The Adventurous Life of Pi.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
I voted Kappa, which as of this writing, has the most votes. I will admit that personal biases may have caused me to vote that way since I hate the idea of a hurricane named Lambda, I don't know why, I just do.
I feel like we do have to start slowing down some point soon though, October and November will more than likely have storms, but I have to imagine they won't pull off the pace of August and September. Portions of the basin start to shut down as we move into the latter portions of the season.
I feel like we do have to start slowing down some point soon though, October and November will more than likely have storms, but I have to imagine they won't pull off the pace of August and September. Portions of the basin start to shut down as we move into the latter portions of the season.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
La Nina seasons tend to linger for quite a while, as do active seasons in general. 2005 was already on a historic pace of its own and as we know it generated storms through the end of the year. I could see something similar happening this year, so I went with Nu, because why not? What's really stopping this year from reaching that far, or further? That's 33 named storms...we're already at 22, with 10 days of September, plus all of October and November still in play. I don't think 11 more storms is out of the realm of possibility, or even more. Hurricane Pi would really be something.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
I voted Eta. Conservative and just enough to tie 2005’s named storms record.
Looks like the season might give us a break for a week or so after Teddy and Beta, and I don’t really see a 2005 or 1950 October happening. Maybe 3-4 storms in October, and 1 or 2 subtropical developments in November or December.
Looks like the season might give us a break for a week or so after Teddy and Beta, and I don’t really see a 2005 or 1950 October happening. Maybe 3-4 storms in October, and 1 or 2 subtropical developments in November or December.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
I think Iota will be the final named of this season, though I think anything after 01 November will be subtropical and more nuisance than impactful. Given it is 2020 and what we have seen...
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
I'm beginning to question my guess that this season will end with Mu. Delta still remains on the tarmac with no other obvious inbound tropical cyclones particularly visible quite yet. I still can't imagine that we'll see any less then 3 or 4 more named storms though. It would seem that an oncoming transition to a more LaNina like pattern might limit the number of strong cold fronts from digging deep into the southeast as we move toward end of Oct and Nov. I think this could point to a late season type event in the deep southwest Caribbean that might not ever get pulled northward and result in a greater risk to Central America (a la Mitch?). Beyond that, I could easily imagine at least a couple of weak storms forming within the W. Atlantic subtropical zone well north of Puerto Rico over time.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
Realistically: Kappa
Hypothetically Possible but unlikely: Nu
I'll officially go with Nu cause....Happy Nu Years.
I'll be bold and say 4 more hurricanes will form before December 31.
Keep in mind what you see below is VERY unlikely and purely hypothetical. Some of the scenarios are possible or probable though.
27: Tropical Storm Zeta (From Caribbean): October 26
28: Hurricane Eta C4/5 (MDR wave to Carib): November 4
29: Tropical Storm Theta (mid-Atlantic): November 11
30: Hurricane Iota C1 (mid-Atlantic): November 18
31: Hurricane Kappa C3/4 (Otto-esque): November 21
32: Hurricane Lambda C1 (Epsilon '05 esque): December 2
33: Tropical Storm Mu (mid-Atlantic): December 15
34: Tripical Storm Nu (Zeta '05 esque): December 31
34 tropical storms +1 upgrade (TD10)
14 hurricanes +2 upgrades (Gonzalo and Gamma)
6 major hurricanes +2 upgrades (Paulette and Sally)
Season Total
35 tropical depressions (record)
35 tropical storms (record)
16 hurricanes (record)
8 major hurricanes (record, including one Cat 5 in November)
~185ACE
2 storms in May (tied record)
2 storms in June
5 storms in July (tied record)
5 storms in August [includes TS on Aug 1st, 2 Hs feat. 1 MH]
10 storms in September (record) [4 Hs including 3 MHs]
4 storms in October [TD29 on Oct 31]
4 storms in November (record) [#29 becomes Eta on Nov 1]
3 storms in December (record) [includes 1 hurricane]
October and November both had 3 hurricanes each with both months featuring 2 major hurricanes. July also featured 3 hurricanes (All Category 1). August had 2 hurricanes (including 1 major), September had 4 (including 3 majors), and December had 1
*Crickets*
Now being realistic...
The Eta storm will likely be a Category 3 at most, not a Cat 5.
There will be one less mid-Atlantic storm in November but reaching Cat 1 is possible.
The "Otto-esque" storm if it even occurs is more likely to be a C2, maybe 3 but 4 is unlikely.
The Lambda storm isn't likely as Epsilon of 2005 was a rare freak of nature.
The Mu storm is also unlikely though in 2003, two tropical storms formed in December very close together in date and in 1887, it was the same bit for hurricanes, so not impossible
The Nu storm is very unlikely as Zeta of 2005 was also a rare freak of nature. And ringing in the NEW Year with Tropical Storm NU would be wonderful. "Happy Nu Year's!"
Gonzalo isn't very likely to be bumped up 10 mph to a Hurricane to be honest and Paulette is a little more likely to get an upgrade (to Cat 3) but is still unlikely.
TD10 also isn't very likely to receive an upgrade either but it is possible it could.
Sally and Gamma are the best bets for an upgrade, especially Gamma which has the highest likelihood in my opinion. Sally could, it's 50/50 for her in my opinion. Gamma is almost a shoe-in for me!
I don't think Nana or Marco will see a downgrade in my opinion despite higher than usual pressure for a hurricane.
Basically all the stars align in this hypothetical forecast that gets the Atlantic to record numbers in all categories aside from ACE. But c'mon........
Let's. At. Least. Get. To. Kappa! It's my favorite Greek letter and would make the Atlantic have a record amount of Tropical Cyclones altogether with 32.
Cheers!
Hypothetically Possible but unlikely: Nu
I'll officially go with Nu cause....Happy Nu Years.
I'll be bold and say 4 more hurricanes will form before December 31.
Keep in mind what you see below is VERY unlikely and purely hypothetical. Some of the scenarios are possible or probable though.
27: Tropical Storm Zeta (From Caribbean): October 26
28: Hurricane Eta C4/5 (MDR wave to Carib): November 4
29: Tropical Storm Theta (mid-Atlantic): November 11
30: Hurricane Iota C1 (mid-Atlantic): November 18
31: Hurricane Kappa C3/4 (Otto-esque): November 21
32: Hurricane Lambda C1 (Epsilon '05 esque): December 2
33: Tropical Storm Mu (mid-Atlantic): December 15
34: Tripical Storm Nu (Zeta '05 esque): December 31
34 tropical storms +1 upgrade (TD10)
14 hurricanes +2 upgrades (Gonzalo and Gamma)
6 major hurricanes +2 upgrades (Paulette and Sally)
Season Total
35 tropical depressions (record)
35 tropical storms (record)
16 hurricanes (record)
8 major hurricanes (record, including one Cat 5 in November)
~185ACE
2 storms in May (tied record)
2 storms in June
5 storms in July (tied record)
5 storms in August [includes TS on Aug 1st, 2 Hs feat. 1 MH]
10 storms in September (record) [4 Hs including 3 MHs]
4 storms in October [TD29 on Oct 31]
4 storms in November (record) [#29 becomes Eta on Nov 1]
3 storms in December (record) [includes 1 hurricane]
October and November both had 3 hurricanes each with both months featuring 2 major hurricanes. July also featured 3 hurricanes (All Category 1). August had 2 hurricanes (including 1 major), September had 4 (including 3 majors), and December had 1
*Crickets*
Now being realistic...
The Eta storm will likely be a Category 3 at most, not a Cat 5.
There will be one less mid-Atlantic storm in November but reaching Cat 1 is possible.
The "Otto-esque" storm if it even occurs is more likely to be a C2, maybe 3 but 4 is unlikely.
The Lambda storm isn't likely as Epsilon of 2005 was a rare freak of nature.
The Mu storm is also unlikely though in 2003, two tropical storms formed in December very close together in date and in 1887, it was the same bit for hurricanes, so not impossible
The Nu storm is very unlikely as Zeta of 2005 was also a rare freak of nature. And ringing in the NEW Year with Tropical Storm NU would be wonderful. "Happy Nu Year's!"
Gonzalo isn't very likely to be bumped up 10 mph to a Hurricane to be honest and Paulette is a little more likely to get an upgrade (to Cat 3) but is still unlikely.
TD10 also isn't very likely to receive an upgrade either but it is possible it could.
Sally and Gamma are the best bets for an upgrade, especially Gamma which has the highest likelihood in my opinion. Sally could, it's 50/50 for her in my opinion. Gamma is almost a shoe-in for me!
I don't think Nana or Marco will see a downgrade in my opinion despite higher than usual pressure for a hurricane.
Basically all the stars align in this hypothetical forecast that gets the Atlantic to record numbers in all categories aside from ACE. But c'mon........
Let's. At. Least. Get. To. Kappa! It's my favorite Greek letter and would make the Atlantic have a record amount of Tropical Cyclones altogether with 32.
Cheers!
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
It's too late for me to vote, and it's already November, but I think we would stop at Lambda at this rate. Theta just got named, and Iota seem possible on the horizon. But after that I don't think it's realistic, even though it is indeed a weird season, that we would have more than two extra storms after "Iota" before the year is up.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
Lambda seems about right
I can't believe we're actually having to say this, what a ridiculous season
I can't believe we're actually having to say this, what a ridiculous season
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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on? (Voting ends on September 30)
Cyclenall wrote:I went with Pi, gotta have Pi by the end. Imagine everyone having to call a serious storm that .
It would be somewhat appropriate. Pi is associated with circles, and hurricanes are close to circular.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
EquusStorm wrote:Lambda seems about right
I can't believe we're actually having to say this, what a ridiculous season
It is ridiculous. The way it is going we'll see an average number of storms in the Greek alphabet alone.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
I lost. Theta was my pick. Might be 2 too short. I think we'll have one after Iota but just a TS. Maybe. Hopefully.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
My ambitious Nu pick is not out of the realm of possibility, amazingly.
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Re: What name will the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season end on?
I think I will choose mu...For 2 reasons.... (1):it's easy to spell(pronounced Moo)... (2):I think a couple sub Tropical storms may spin up briefly in the Atlantic, staying out at sea...if I'm wrong...won't be the first time in my life, or the last... Keeps me real I guess...
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