ATL: DELTA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

That warm-core feature is rapidly warming on IR.
A couple more hours of this and I would say that it could be an eye.

[NDG]

Rocket fuels ahead

https://i.imgur.com/kb8jft8.png

If Delta runs right into that cold eddy I see rapid weakening as a possibility, but if it moves just a little to the left of it than the high octane fuel continues throughout a good portion of the gulf

SSTs are plenty warm on top of that eddy, as long as Delta keeps moving cooler upwelling will not be a problem for it in the central GOM.

[St0rmTh0r]

Delta is reminding me a lot of 2002 Lili. Fast moving storm that reached its peak in the central gulf before weakening prior to landfall. The increased organization were seeing today already is pretty concerning.

Chances growing this becomes strongest storm of the season

[LSU2001]

Lili basically fell apart on approach to Louisiana mainly due to isadore a few days before traveling through the same waters. Isadore cooled the waters ahead of lili a bunch and it showed when Lili weakened a bunch before landfall.
Tim

[SconnieCane]

Delta is reminding me a lot of 2002 Lili. Fast moving storm that reached its peak in the central gulf before weakening prior to landfall. The increased organization were seeing today already is pretty concerning.

Chances growing this becomes strongest storm of the season

It has 130kt Laura to beat out for that distinction so .

[EquusStorm]

Scary trends. Definitely looks like intensity forecast will have to go up significantly if there isn't a random hiccup with organization

[otowntiger]

Delta is reminding me a lot of 2002 Lili. Fast moving storm that reached its peak in the central gulf before weakening prior to landfall. The increased organization were seeing today already is pretty concerning.

Agreed, but hopefully the end result will be similar in that as I recall Lili weakened so fast upon approach that the damage inland and even on the coast wasn't especially bad.

[cheezyWXguy]

That warm-core feature is rapidly warming on IR.
A couple more hours of this and I would say that it could be an eye.

I’m not 100% sure that’s what that is just yet. Motion of the towers just to the north suggests to me that the true center is probably tucked under the se corner of that blob, just to the nw of the warm spot. Doesn’t make much difference though. At this rate of organization I think we’ll see a true eye by late this afternoon if convective bursts aren’t obscuring it

[supercane4867]

Pretty sure it's already stronger than a minimum TS now.

[plasticup]

Delta is reminding me a lot of 2002 Lili. Fast moving storm that reached its peak in the central gulf before weakening prior to landfall. The increased organization were seeing today already is pretty concerning.

Chances growing this becomes strongest storm of the season

That would be in conflict with the NHC and every global/ensemble/mesoscale hurricane model.

[NDG]

Is getting organized by the minute this morning, definitely starting to get that hurricane look already.

[plasticup]

Is getting organized by the minute this morning, definitely starting to get that hurricane look already.

https://i.imgur.com/GB85pfh.gif

It definitely has the look of a storm that is itching to get going.

[cycloneye]

This might be a long thread

100% will be one of the most longest threads of 2020 but will it beat Laura's main discussion thread that had 392 pages? Isaias had 284 pages on the main discussion thread.

[kevin]

Depending on when recon gets there this might already be a strong TS or minimal hurricane. When are they supposed to enter Delta?

[Blow_Hard]

I wish no one would have to deal with this but I have to say I'm encouraged that Michael affected areas are not likely to be impacted much, if at all by Delta if the current trends continue...

[St0rmTh0r]

Delta is reminding me a lot of 2002 Lili. Fast moving storm that reached its peak in the central gulf before weakening prior to landfall. The increased organization were seeing today already is pretty concerning.

Chances growing this becomes strongest storm of the season

It has 130kt Laura to beat out for that distinction so .

It's in a more favorable environment the Laura was

[robbielyn]

BTW, where is Aric?

[TheProfessor]

There's a lot at play here. Expect many changes to come with final landfall and strength. What's left of Gamma will likely have influences on steering and the environment that gets left behind. It's critical that everyone along the Gulf Coast stay updated to NHC forecasts and their local NWS office.

[OuterBanker]

Is not hurricane Delta striking the Delta region not predestination?

[LowerAlabamaTider]

There's a lot at play here. Expect many changes to come with final landfall and strength. What's left of Gamma will likely have influences on steering and the environment that gets left behind. It's critical that everyone along the Gulf Coast stay updated to NHC forecasts and their local NWS office.

We are watching closely!