ATL: EPSILON - Post-Tropical

[ElectricStorm]

I started in the worst year possible: 2013. Hurricane Sandy was what got me interested in meteorology. However, I was pretty on-and-off when it came to tracking until late 2015 with Hurricane Joaquin.

Back to Epsilon, the experimental satellite estimate puts it at 40 kt. Let’s see if the 18z best track agrees.

I'm surprised you didn't quit after 2013 lol... I've always been interested in tracking weather, but since Im in Oklahoma it has always been tornadoes and severe weather, but when TD Bill came over my house I was like"Hmm I wonder what other storms are out there" and the rest is history. First 2 storms I tracked were Cat 4 Goni and Cat 5 Atsani in the WPAC, pretty insane storms and I've been tracking ever since.

In regards to Epsilon, I would think they will up the winds

Yep, up to 40 kt/998 mbar. Tropical Tidbits no longer says “remnants of Epsilon”.

Also, back in 2013, it thought Humberto ‘13 was the coolest thing, due to its stairstep track and regeneration.

Lol the pain of a hurricane tracker in 2013... Until Haiyan

[Iceresistance]

That's about the same time I started too. Can't believe it's already been 5 years!

I started in the worst year possible: 2013. Hurricane Sandy was what got me interested in meteorology. However, I was pretty on-and-off when it came to tracking until late 2015 with Hurricane Joaquin.

Back to Epsilon, the experimental satellite estimate puts it at 40 kt. Let’s see if the 18z best track agrees.

I'm surprised you didn't quit after 2013 lol... I've always been interested in tracking weather, but since Im in Oklahoma it has always been tornadoes and severe weather, but when TD Bill came over my house I was like"Hmm I wonder what other storms are out there" and the rest is history. First 2 storms I tracked were Cat 4 Goni and Cat 5 Atsani in the WPAC, pretty insane storms and I've been tracking ever since.

In regards to Epsilon, I would think they will up the winds

I got very serious after the Central Oklahoma tornado outbreaks in May 2013, I remember Bill in 2015 that dumped over several inches of rain.

The craziest storms I tracked was in 2017 with Harvey, Irma & Maria. (Irma was a CAT 5 for 3 straight days!)
In May 2019 alone, a record 102 tornadoes touched down in Oklahoma, including the Mangum EF4 on the High Risk Day.

[Iceresistance]

Me thinking about this storm make me feel stressed out. (I started tracking the tropical in June 2015.)

That's about the same time I started too. Can't believe it's already been 5 years!

I started in the worst year possible: 2013. Hurricane Sandy was what got me interested in meteorology. However, I was pretty on-and-off when it came to tracking until late 2015 with Hurricane Joaquin.

Back to Epsilon, the experimental satellite estimate puts it at 40 kt. Let’s see if the 18z best track agrees.

2013 was really bad with Tornadoes in Oklahoma.

[Iceresistance]

The ultimate example is 5 years ago tomorrow, TD20-E formed in the EPAC, the initial forecast called for a 100mph Cat 2 peak before landfall in Mexico, the rest is history. That happened only a couple months after I started tracking the tropics so watching that unfold was pretty insane.

Anyway back to Epsilon, convection looks to be firing again on the west side

Me thinking about this storm make me feel stressed out. (I started tracking the tropical in June 2015.)

That's about the same time I started too. Can't believe it's already been 5 years!

Not me, 2017 was slow with the triplets of terror, 2018 with Florence & Michael, & very slow in 2019 with the defying Dorian that will never die! (It really seems like it)

[TheStormExpert]

Someone tell me why Epsilon is Tropical and not Subtropical?

[IsabelaWeather]

I really am hoping for this to become major storm. I want it to be as strong as possible as a fish storm to make the waves here big! Teddy wasn't bad, but this might be a better angle.

[aspen]

Nice convective burst over the center. This might be a little stronger than 40 kt, but regardless if it’s 40 kt or 45 kt, this convective structure suggests dry air and shear aren’t a huge issue.

[ElectricStorm]

That's about the same time I started too. Can't believe it's already been 5 years!

I started in the worst year possible: 2013. Hurricane Sandy was what got me interested in meteorology. However, I was pretty on-and-off when it came to tracking until late 2015 with Hurricane Joaquin.

Back to Epsilon, the experimental satellite estimate puts it at 40 kt. Let’s see if the 18z best track agrees.

2013 was really bad with Tornadoes in Oklahoma.

Yeah 2013 and 2019 were both pretty bad here. I almost took multiple direct hits in 2019 and really thought we were going to get nailed on 5/22 after the radar signature got VERY intense just a few miles away from my house, luckily it lifted before it got here. That day was insane, no day will beat that unless we get hit...

Anyway back to Epsilon, convection really wrapping around now so I expect this to become a hurricane in a few days and maybe even a major, Bermuda really needs to watch this as they have already had multiple hits this year

[aspen]

Looking pretty good for a <24 hr old TS as the Sun sets.

[Iceresistance]

I started in the worst year possible: 2013. Hurricane Sandy was what got me interested in meteorology. However, I was pretty on-and-off when it came to tracking until late 2015 with Hurricane Joaquin.

Back to Epsilon, the experimental satellite estimate puts it at 40 kt. Let’s see if the 18z best track agrees.

2013 was really bad with Tornadoes in Oklahoma.

Yeah 2013 and 2019 were both pretty bad here. I almost took multiple direct hits in 2019 and really thought we were going to get nailed on 5/22 after the radar signature got VERY intense just a few miles away from my house, luckily it lifted before it got here. That day was insane, no day will beat that unless we get hit...

Anyway back to Epsilon, convection really wrapping around now so I expect this to become a hurricane in a few days and maybe even a major, Bermuda really needs to watch this as they have already had multiple hits this year

NHC now says 45 mph & 998 MB of Epsilon.

Radar detected a QLCS on a squall line on 5/25/2019 at around 10 PM. (YES, that late.) A News 9 storm chaser confirmed a lowering, but just as it was getting worse, the mesocyclone got partly absorbed into the squall, I was in the storm shelter for several minutes.

Right now, the GFS model is hinting Snowtober next week, and it's going to get really cold. (It's currently 52 right now & that is the high today.)

[cycloneye]

2020 season keep breaking records.

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1318298053502119937

[ElectricStorm]

2020 season keep breaking records.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1318298053502119937

And yet people keep saying that this season isn't that impressive...

[us89]

Radar detected a QLCS on a squall line on 5/25/2019 at around 10 PM. (YES, that late.) A News 9 storm chaser confirmed a lowering, but just as it was getting worse, the mesocyclone got partly absorbed into the squall, I was in the storm shelter for several minutes.

A QLCS is a squall line. Assumuing you meant TVS (tornado vortex signature).

[Iceresistance]

Radar detected a QLCS on a squall line on 5/25/2019 at around 10 PM. (YES, that late.) A News 9 storm chaser confirmed a lowering, but just as it was getting worse, the mesocyclone got partly absorbed into the squall, I was in the storm shelter for several minutes.

A QLCS is a squall line. Assumuing you meant TVS (tornado vortex signature).

Yes, but a QLCS means a mesocyclone within a squall line. There was one such case on 5/25/2019 in El Reno, Ok

[Ryxn]

Let's try to stay on topic

[plasticup]

Someone tell me why Epsilon is Tropical and not Subtropical?

Per NHC:

Earlier this afternoon, Epsilon had a hybrid-type structure in satellite imagery, with a partially exposed center and a broken convective band that wrapped around the northern and eastern sides of the storm. However, recent satellite imagery shows a small convective burst near the center that gives Epsilon a more tropical appearance.

[Iceresistance]

Let's try to stay on topic

True, but there is winter weather expected, is there a discussion for that?

[Iceresistance]

2020 season keep breaking records.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1318298053502119937

And yet people keep saying that this season isn't that impressive...

And the only reason why is there are currently no CAT 5 hurricanes. . .YET

[ElectricStorm]

2020 season keep breaking records.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1318298053502119937

And yet people keep saying that this season isn't that impressive...

And the only reason why is there are currently no CAT 5 hurricanes. . .YET

Huh? How does that mean there are no Cat 5s? My point was about the tweet. And it's getting pretty late for a Cat 5, not impossible, but unlikely. A couple more majors are still possible though

[Ryxn]

Let's try to stay on topic

True, but there is winter weather expected, is there a discussion for that?

Touche. There should be one or just have it be in the casual convo thread. But it ain't a big deal either way