Potential monster storms that never panned out

[Ed_2001]

Yeah I would say Mangkhut doesn't qualify as it was a 180mph Cat 5 lol. But I see what you mean

Yeah my point was it was already an monster but could have been even more “monstrous”. But I guess in the same fashion as Irma and Dorian. Already very bad but could have been much worse.

I agree with you. No question a mid range Cat4 is formidable, but but any storm with a 6 mile wide eye (later contracted to something like 2 or 3), in the western Caribbean, in October, is going to raise some eyebrows. If mid level shear hadn’t jumped to 30kt unexpectedly, there would have been nothing to stop it.

Did you quote the wrong guy by any chance?

[cheezyWXguy]

Yeah my point was it was already an monster but could have been even more “monstrous”. But I guess in the same fashion as Irma and Dorian. Already very bad but could have been much worse.

I agree with you. No question a mid range Cat4 is formidable, but but any storm with a 6 mile wide eye (later contracted to something like 2 or 3), in the western Caribbean, in October, is going to raise some eyebrows. If mid level shear hadn’t jumped to 30kt unexpectedly, there would have been nothing to stop it.

Did you quote the wrong guy by any chance?

Oof, no I didn’t but I thought you were talking about Delta.

[DestinHurricane]

While still a major landfall and quite bad, I would have to say Dennis. Had it been a little larger it would have been as bad as opal.

[Ptarmigan]

Hurricane Isidore in 2002 was forecasted to hit the New Orleans areas a Category 4 hurricane. It stalled over Yucatan Peninsula before heading northwards towards the Gulf Coast as a large tropical storm.

Think about if Isidore did hit the New Orleans area as a Category 4 hurricane.

[Iceresistance]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

[TheStormExpert]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

Are you talking about the NAM 3KM?

[Iceresistance]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

Are you talking about the NAM 3KM?

COT2 at Mexico

[shiny-pebble]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

Which model. Because not even the aggressive HMON and HWRF had a storm anywhere near that intense.

[Iceresistance]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

Are you talking about the NAM 3KM?

Even though the NAM model was crazy with Laura.

[shiny-pebble]

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

Are you talking about the NAM 3KM?

COT2 at Mexico

If that model had a 220 MPH storm when no other model had that it is clearly not reliable and should be taken with a grain of salt

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

[kevin]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

I think this is the model you're referring to?

[Ubuntwo]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

I think this is the model you're referring to?

https://i.imgur.com/WEZWl9O.png

That model was interpolated 6 hours, so not a true forecast.

[ElectricStorm]

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

Are you talking about the NAM 3KM?

Even though the NAM model was crazy with Laura.

There's a good rule about using models: NEVER use the NAM to make a TC forecast and never take the NAM seriously in regards to TC's lol

[Iceresistance]

I don't think Delta qualifies. None of the professionals or models expected it to be Wilma 2.0, just the people on this forum and Twitter. I think the NHC had a peak intensity of 150 or so and it peaked at 145. Maybe in the Gulf in didn't quite reach expectations but it didn't bust.

And, I would say it qualifies as a monster

One model had Delta at 220 mph at landfall

I think this is the model you're referring to?

https://i.imgur.com/WEZWl9O.png

Yes that one