ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#161 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:16 pm

 https://twitter.com/TylerJStanfield/status/1319733579686023169


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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#162 Postby underthwx » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:19 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Just by looking at satellite, if that blob from the SE rotates to the North and then NW, I think we may get a center reformation somewhere between Grand Cayman and Little Cayman. If that happens and the convection consolidates around it, I think it would be off to the races and a more NE track will be in the cards.


I for one agree with you....I have been watching satellite loops, I see what you are referring to...is a recon mission scheduled?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#163 Postby gatorcane » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:21 pm

Continues to grow in size as convection builds and expands. Does have the “look” something is trying to develop.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#164 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:31 pm

On visible, look at the area south of Little Cayman and in line and directly between Grand Cayman and Jamaica. Looks like some good rotation there. Not sure if this is the MLC or a relocated LLC.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#165 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:32 pm

Center is right south of Grand cayman. right about where the number 25 is.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#166 Postby SFLcane » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:33 pm

gatorcane wrote:Continues to grow in size as convection builds and expands. Does have the “look” something is trying to develop.

https://i.postimg.cc/jSGRVc84/goes16-ir-95-L-202010231902.gif


I am quite impressed actually very impressive satellite appearance.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#167 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:33 pm

Must be the MLC that I'm seeing further off to the ESE. Looks like it's steady heading WNW towards the LLC. They may get stacked here shortly.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#168 Postby underthwx » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:33 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:On visible, look at the area south of Little Cayman and in line and directly between Grand Cayman and Jamaica. Looks like some good rotation there. Not sure if this is the MLC or a relocated LLC.


Yes...just might be....95L is getting healthier and healthier as time marches on.....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#169 Postby us89 » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:35 pm

Obviously ramping up in organization quickly.

My bet is that unless this is a TD already, it will probably be designated PTC 28 (yes, 28!) by the 11 PM advisory cycle tonight. Some of the more aggressive model runs (the HMON, for example) are showing tropical storm force wind impacts in Cuba within the 48 hour time frame.
Last edited by us89 on Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#170 Postby GCANE » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:35 pm

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#171 Postby Blown Away » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:36 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Just by looking at satellite, if that blob from the SE rotates to the North and then NW, I think we may get a center reformation somewhere between Grand Cayman and Little Cayman. If that happens and the convection consolidates around it, I think it would be off to the races and a more NE track will be in the cards.


I agree, I think the deeper/stronger 95L goes NE and shallow/weaker 95L goes NW like most of the global models show ATM.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#172 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:37 pm

underthwx wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:Just by looking at satellite, if that blob from the SE rotates to the North and then NW, I think we may get a center reformation somewhere between Grand Cayman and Little Cayman. If that happens and the convection consolidates around it, I think it would be off to the races and a more NE track will be in the cards.


I for one agree with you....I have been watching satellite loops, I see what you are referring to...is a recon mission scheduled?

RECON goes in tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#173 Postby GCANE » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:37 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#174 Postby Weatherboy1 » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:45 pm

This time of year, I think you have to give more weight to models with more of an easterly bias/forecast. We’re almost into November, and that means fronts/troughs are stronger and you then to see more NNE/NE than NW tracks
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#175 Postby GCANE » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:45 pm

LLC and Anticyclone aligned

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#176 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:45 pm

It may be difficult for me, at least at first, to see this storm as "Zeta." To me Zeta is that cute little post-Christmas storm that everybody rang in the New Year with. It may take a little while to get used to another storm with that name, especially one that's so different from the last one. 8-)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#177 Postby underthwx » Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:06 pm

Looking at a satellite loop...is 95L drifting basically North, or possibly NNW?...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#178 Postby gatorcane » Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:11 pm

Looking at the big picture, looks like it is on its way to developing, lots of spin:

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#179 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:15 pm

GCANE wrote:LLC and Anticyclone aligned

https://i.imgur.com/YmRdFVa.png

Looks squashed aloft.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#180 Postby underthwx » Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:19 pm

gatorcane wrote:Looking at the big picture, looks like it is on its way to developing, lots of spin:

https://i.postimg.cc/6Q6j62Mb/48-E6-DF6-D-5-CDA-430-E-84-DF-1-C7-CBE931-F96.gif


Absolutely gatorcane....may I ask where I can find that satellite loop?...thanks...
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