2020 TCRs
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- Nancy Smar
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2020 TCRs
It begins with TD ONE-E.
North Atlantic:
Tropical Storm Arthur ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL012020_Arthur.pdf
Tropical Storm Bertha ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL022020_Bertha.pdf
Tropical Storm Cristobal ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032 ... stobal.pdf
Tropical Storm Dolly ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042020_Dolly.pdf
Tropical Storm Edouard ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL052020_Edouard.pdf
Tropical Storm Fay ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL062020_Fay.pdf
Tropical Storm Gonzalo ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072020_Gonzalo.pdf
Hurricane Hanna ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL082020_Hanna.pdf
Hurricane Isaias ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL092020_Isaias.pdf
Tropical Depression Ten ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL102020_Ten.pdf
Tropical Storm Josephine ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL112 ... ephine.pdf
Tropical Storm Kyle ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL122020_Kyle.pdf
Hurricane Laura ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL132020_Laura.pdf
Hurricane Marco ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL142020_Marco.pdf
Hurricane Nana ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL162020_Nana.pdf
Tropical Storm Omar ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152020_Omar.pdf
Hurricane Paulette ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL172020_Paulette.pdf
Tropical Storm René ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182020_Rene.pdf
Hurricane Sally ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL192020_Sally.pdf
Hurricane Teddy ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL202020_Teddy.pdf
Tropical Storm Vicky ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL212020_Vicky.pdf
Tropical Storm Wilfred ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL232020_Wilfred.pdf
SubTropical Storm Alpha ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL242020_Alpha.pdf
Tropical Storm Beta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL222020_Beta.pdf
Hurricane Gamma ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL252020_Gamma.pdf
Hurricane Delta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL262020_Delta.pdf
Hurricane Epsilon ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL272020_Epsilon.pdf
Hurricane Zeta---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL282020_Zeta.pdf
Hurricane Eta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL292020_Eta.pdf
Tropical Storm Theta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL302020_Theta.pdf
Hurricane Iota ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL312020_Iota.pdf
Pacific:
Tropical Depression One-E ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012020_One-E.pdf
Tropical Storm Amanda ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP022020_Amanda.pdf
Tropical Storm Boris ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032020_Boris.pdf
Tropical Storm Cristina ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP052020_Cristina.pdf
Tropical Depression Six-E---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP062020_Six-E.pdf
Unnamed Tropical Storm/TD-7-E
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP072020_Unnamed.pdf
Hurricane Douglas ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP082020_Douglas.pdf
Hurricane Elida ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP092020_Elida.pdf
Tropical Depression Ten-E ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP102020_Ten-E.pdf
Tropical Storm Fausto ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP112020_Fausto.pdf
Hurricane Genevieve ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP122 ... evieve.pdf
Tropical Storm Hernan ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP132020_Hernan.pdf
Tropical Storm Iselle ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP142020_Iselle.pdf
Tropical Storm Julio ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP152020_Julio.pdf
Tropical Storm Karina ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP162020_Karina.pdf
Tropical Storm Lowell ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP172020_Lowell.pdf
Hurricane Marie ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP182020_Marie.pdf
Tropical Storm Norbert ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP192020_Norbert.pdf
Tropical Storm Odalys ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP202020_Odalys.pdf
Tropical Storm Polo ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP212020_Polo.pdf
North Atlantic:
Tropical Storm Arthur ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL012020_Arthur.pdf
Tropical Storm Bertha ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL022020_Bertha.pdf
Tropical Storm Cristobal ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032 ... stobal.pdf
Tropical Storm Dolly ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042020_Dolly.pdf
Tropical Storm Edouard ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL052020_Edouard.pdf
Tropical Storm Fay ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL062020_Fay.pdf
Tropical Storm Gonzalo ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072020_Gonzalo.pdf
Hurricane Hanna ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL082020_Hanna.pdf
Hurricane Isaias ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL092020_Isaias.pdf
Tropical Depression Ten ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL102020_Ten.pdf
Tropical Storm Josephine ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL112 ... ephine.pdf
Tropical Storm Kyle ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL122020_Kyle.pdf
Hurricane Laura ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL132020_Laura.pdf
Hurricane Marco ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL142020_Marco.pdf
Hurricane Nana ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL162020_Nana.pdf
Tropical Storm Omar ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152020_Omar.pdf
Hurricane Paulette ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL172020_Paulette.pdf
Tropical Storm René ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182020_Rene.pdf
Hurricane Sally ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL192020_Sally.pdf
Hurricane Teddy ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL202020_Teddy.pdf
Tropical Storm Vicky ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL212020_Vicky.pdf
Tropical Storm Wilfred ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL232020_Wilfred.pdf
SubTropical Storm Alpha ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL242020_Alpha.pdf
Tropical Storm Beta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL222020_Beta.pdf
Hurricane Gamma ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL252020_Gamma.pdf
Hurricane Delta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL262020_Delta.pdf
Hurricane Epsilon ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL272020_Epsilon.pdf
Hurricane Zeta---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL282020_Zeta.pdf
Hurricane Eta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL292020_Eta.pdf
Tropical Storm Theta ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL302020_Theta.pdf
Hurricane Iota ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL312020_Iota.pdf
Pacific:
Tropical Depression One-E ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012020_One-E.pdf
Tropical Storm Amanda ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP022020_Amanda.pdf
Tropical Storm Boris ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032020_Boris.pdf
Tropical Storm Cristina ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP052020_Cristina.pdf
Tropical Depression Six-E---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP062020_Six-E.pdf
Unnamed Tropical Storm/TD-7-E
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP072020_Unnamed.pdf
Hurricane Douglas ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP082020_Douglas.pdf
Hurricane Elida ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP092020_Elida.pdf
Tropical Depression Ten-E ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP102020_Ten-E.pdf
Tropical Storm Fausto ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP112020_Fausto.pdf
Hurricane Genevieve ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP122 ... evieve.pdf
Tropical Storm Hernan ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP132020_Hernan.pdf
Tropical Storm Iselle ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP142020_Iselle.pdf
Tropical Storm Julio ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP152020_Julio.pdf
Tropical Storm Karina ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP162020_Karina.pdf
Tropical Storm Lowell ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP172020_Lowell.pdf
Hurricane Marie ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP182020_Marie.pdf
Tropical Storm Norbert ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP192020_Norbert.pdf
Tropical Storm Odalys ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP202020_Odalys.pdf
Tropical Storm Polo ---
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP212020_Polo.pdf
Last edited by Nancy Smar on Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:53 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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- weeniepatrol
- Category 3
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Re: 2020 TCRs
weeniepatrol wrote:https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1307031298796597248
It was slightly stronger, at 990 mbar instead of 992 mbar. If it became extratropical later on it would’ve peaked at 55 kt and 989 mbar.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- AnnularCane
- S2K Supporter
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Re: 2020 TCRs
weeniepatrol wrote:https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1307031298796597248
There he is, the one who started it all. The leader of the pack.
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- TheStormExpert
- Category 5
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- Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL
Re: 2020 TCRs
I wonder how long it will take the NHC to writeup all these tropical cyclone reports for the Atlantic when all is said and done?
1 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
Re: 2020 TCRs
How long did it take for them to finish analysis for 2005?...
Do they usually try to finish these before the Spring WMO meeting or not necessarily?
Do they usually try to finish these before the Spring WMO meeting or not necessarily?
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- galaxy401
- Category 5
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Re: 2020 TCRs
Tropical Storm Bertha is out.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Re: 2020 TCRs
At this rate, we should see Dolly’s TCR within the next two weeks (Cristobal will likely take longer due to its 9-day life span and multiple land impacts). I’m excited to see if the NHC bumps up Dolly’s peak intensity, which I think was around 50-55 kt.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- Nancy Smar
- Category 5
- Posts: 1081
- Age: 23
- Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:03 pm
Re: 2020 TCRs
Elida was upped to a stronger Cat2 than operationally assessed. It’s ICE is now 39.45 (90 kt and 971 mbar), up from 33.10 operational.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- ElectricStorm
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Re: 2020 TCRs
Interesting that they were able to finish Elida before some of those other weak storms, like Tropical Slop Boris.
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I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Boomer Sooner!
Boomer Sooner!
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Re: 2020 TCRs
ClarCari wrote:How long did it take for them to finish analysis for 2005?...
Do they usually try to finish these before the Spring WMO meeting or not necessarily?
If I recall right, the Katrina was the last storm to have its report released, on 28 April 2006, although there were further updates with few of the storms' reports since then.
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Alberto 1994 Opal 1995 Jeanne 2004 Cindy & Dennis 2005 Irma 2017 Michael 2018 Zeta 2020
- galaxy401
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Re: 2020 TCRs
Tropical Storm Cristina has been released. Now that the season is finally winding down, these reports will be getting published at a quicker pace.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: 2020 TCRs
Douglas’s TCR is out for its EPac portion is out. Peaked just prior to entering the CPac (which likely won’t have its part released till like 2022 based on how agonizingly slow they go). No changes to intensity, remains 115 kt despite some talk of a higher intensity. IMO, seems fair.
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- galaxy401
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Re: 2020 TCRs
Tropical Storm Lowell is out. Looks like they want to get out the EPAC storms first so they can be out of the way.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Re: 2020 TCRs
Nana has been released. No change in peak intensity. No downgrade here.
The 72kt FL and 62kt SFMR as well as Nana having a tiny core was noted as being enough data to support a hurricane.
The 72kt FL and 62kt SFMR as well as Nana having a tiny core was noted as being enough data to support a hurricane.
Last edited by ClarCari on Mon Dec 07, 2020 4:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- ColdMiser123
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Re: 2020 TCRs
ClarCari wrote:Nana has been released. No change in peak intensity. No downgrade here.
The 72kt FL and 62kt SFMR as well as Nana having a tiny core was noted as being enough data to support at hurricane.
This is a borderline case, but since it was such a small circulation, it would be prone to swings in intensity with any convective bursts. There was a significant burst just before landfall which likely spun it back up a bit just before landfall.
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B.S., M.S., Meteorology & Atmospheric Science
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Re: 2020 TCRs
I know they mentioned the Carrie Bow Cay reading, but that should have got additional weight. That 53 kt was in the RMW. It does not say if that was 1-min, 2-min or 10-min sustained though. I did figure they'd find a reason to keep it a hurricane even if many of us disagree with it. IMO, if they had operationally gone 60 kt, they would have left it there.
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Re: 2020 TCRs
CrazyC83 wrote:I know they mentioned the Carrie Bow Cay reading, but that should have got additional weight. That 53 kt was in the RMW. It does not say if that was 1-min, 2-min or 10-min sustained though. I did figure they'd find a reason to keep it a hurricane even if many of us disagree with it. IMO, if they had operationally gone 60 kt, they would have left it there.
Reviewing the data, I noticed that the 72-knot FL reading occurred ~13 n mi NNW of the centre at 02:12:30 UTC on 3 October. (The fix at the time reported 996 mb with 15-knot winds, which would translate to a central pressure of 994 mb. A subsequent fix at 04:37:00Z on the same date indicated 999 mb with 36-knot winds, which again translates to a central pressure of 994 mb. So the MSLP was relatively steady up until nearshore.) According to the TCR, the MSW of 53 knots at Carrie Bow Cay occurred at 05:42 UTC, while the minimum observed pressure of 998 mb occurred at 05:30 UTC. Based on both fixes and station data, the centre of Nana passed within ~8 n mi of Carrie Bow Cay, so the station was clearly inside the RMW at some point, while the eye of Nana passed south of the station as it headed WSW. I’m assuming that the MSW at Carrie Bow Cay was a 1-min observation at 10 m, which would fit the reconnaissance data rather well. Interestingly, SFMR registered a peak wind of 49 knots about ~17 n mi to the NNW of the centre at 04:32:00 UTC. Given the size of the near-average RMW, while noting the compact circulation (meaning high background pressures), and taking into account the trajectory of the centre, one deduces that while Carrie Bow Cay (~55 knots) was certainly inside the RMW at one point, it is possible that slightly stronger (~60 knots) winds occurred just north of the station. If this is the case, then the land data from Carrie Bow Cay indicate that SFMR was underestimating surface winds somewhat, since the station was reporting stronger winds closer to the centre than SFMR was reporting. Adding another five knots to account for this would actually support 65 knots in a very small area. So actually now the NHC’s classification begins to make sense, once one fully explores the data and applies reasoning.
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CVW / MiamiensisWx / Shell Mound
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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