ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1841 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:43 pm

Steve wrote:
pcolaman wrote:
Steve wrote:
Hopefully. However the HWRF (and HMON) has consistently put the energy at landfall and for a few hours after to the north. Rain is now moderate. Winds in the teens. Let’s Go!


Good luck and Gods Speed to you in the Eye of this storm..


Appreciate that pcolaman. Mother-in-law was just over there the last couple days but bailed when she thought she was going to get hit by a hurricane only to come back to New Orleans. haha. You can't win them all. Best to you and everyone else in my other hometown over there in the 850.

What does it look like outside?
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1842 Postby Javlin » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:45 pm

3090 wrote:
pcolaman wrote:
Steve wrote:
Hopefully. However the HWRF (and HMON) has consistently put the energy at landfall and for a few hours after to the north. Rain is now moderate. Winds in the teens. Let’s Go!


Good luck and Gods Speed to you in the Eye of this storm..

You guys are contrarian to the mets. And also need a geography lesson on New Orleans.

Steve lives in NO.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1843 Postby bella_may » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:45 pm

The models need some serious repairs in the offseason
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1844 Postby Steve » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:45 pm

3090 wrote:
pcolaman wrote:
Steve wrote:
Hopefully. However the HWRF (and HMON) has consistently put the energy at landfall and for a few hours after to the north. Rain is now moderate. Winds in the teens. Let’s Go!


Good luck and Gods Speed to you in the Eye of this storm..

You guys are contrarian to the mets. And also need a geography lesson on New Orleans.

Come on man. You whine and fight with more people than anyone on the forum. I try to refrain from being a blank-head, but you make it tough sometimes.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1845 Postby cajungal » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:45 pm

Winds picking up in Thibodaux. Very steady rain. Looks like Zeta will go through the heart of Terrebonne parish
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1846 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:46 pm

Steve wrote:
3090 wrote:
pcolaman wrote:
Good luck and Gods Speed to you in the Eye of this storm..

You guys are contrarian to the mets. And also need a geography lesson on New Orleans.

Come on man. You whine and fight with more people than anyone on the forum. I try to refrain from being a blank-head, but you make it tough sometimes.

No fighting is allowed here, but how does it look like outside?
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1847 Postby SoupBone » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:46 pm

Javlin wrote:
3090 wrote:
pcolaman wrote:
Good luck and Gods Speed to you in the Eye of this storm..

You guys are contrarian to the mets. And also need a geography lesson on New Orleans.

Steve lives in NO.


And I lived in that area for 36 years, I'm quite familiar with it's geography.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1848 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:47 pm

They didn’t go through the SE/E quadrant this time.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1849 Postby Airboy » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:47 pm

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -260m (-853 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
971mb (28.68 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 24.0°C (75.2°F) 23.3°C (74°F) 45° (from the NE) 73 knots (84 mph)
925mb 424m (1,391 ft) 22.0°C (71.6°F) 20.7°C (69°F) 55° (from the NE) 73 knots (84 mph)
850mb 1,161m (3,809 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 17.8°C (64°F) 60° (from the ENE) 63 knots (72 mph)
700mb 2,819m (9,249 ft) 12.6°C (54.7°F) 12.5°C (54°F) 90° (from the E) 73 knots (84 mph)
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1850 Postby Steve » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:47 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Steve wrote:
pcolaman wrote:
Good luck and Gods Speed to you in the Eye of this storm..


Appreciate that pcolaman. Mother-in-law was just over there the last couple days but bailed when she thought she was going to get hit by a hurricane only to come back to New Orleans. haha. You can't win them all. Best to you and everyone else in my other hometown over there in the 850.

What does it look like outside?


Grey, rainy (moderate) and winds in the low teens. Nothing crazy yet so far.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1851 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:48 pm

Lowest Extrapolated pressure is 969 MB flat
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1852 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:48 pm

N/NW side is much stronger this pass compared to last time they went through there at the start of the mission
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1853 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:48 pm

This thing is absolutely speed racing to get ashore.. might make landfall within the hour.

Image
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1854 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:49 pm

Steve wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Steve wrote:
Appreciate that pcolaman. Mother-in-law was just over there the last couple days but bailed when she thought she was going to get hit by a hurricane only to come back to New Orleans. haha. You can't win them all. Best to you and everyone else in my other hometown over there in the 850.

What does it look like outside?


Grey, rainy (moderate) and winds in the low teens. Nothing crazy yet so far.

It's going to in a few hours I bet!
NHC considering upgrading this to 115 mph.
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1855 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:49 pm

Big time pressure drop on the recon: 967 mb with 69 knots on SFMR.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1856 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:49 pm

Airboy wrote:Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -260m (-853 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
971mb (28.68 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 24.0°C (75.2°F) 23.3°C (74°F) 45° (from the NE) 73 knots (84 mph)
925mb 424m (1,391 ft) 22.0°C (71.6°F) 20.7°C (69°F) 55° (from the NE) 73 knots (84 mph)
850mb 1,161m (3,809 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 17.8°C (64°F) 60° (from the ENE) 63 knots (72 mph)
700mb 2,819m (9,249 ft) 12.6°C (54.7°F) 12.5°C (54°F) 90° (from the E) 73 knots (84 mph)


If that translates to the surface, that would be a 964 mb pressure.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1857 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:51 pm

Are you waiting for the Dropsonde on the eye & E eyewall?
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1858 Postby Javlin » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:51 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This thing is absolutely speed racing to get ashore.. might make landfall within the hour.

https://i.imgur.com/bbFg4nW.jpg


yeah looks like it's taking a L/wobble ATTM.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1859 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:51 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This thing is absolutely speed racing to get ashore.. might make landfall within the hour.

https://i.imgur.com/bbFg4nW.jpg

This has got to be close to Nate's speed record in the gulf. 3pm CDT update will likely be the NHC's final say on whether to upgrade or not. Unless they send out a landfall update
Last edited by ElectricStorm on Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1860 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:52 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Big time pressure drop on the recon: 967 mb with 69 knots on SFMR.

WOAH! I never saw that coming.
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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