ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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aspen
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1881 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:00 pm

The NHC could go with 968-970 mbar and 100 kt for the 5pm update. It seems like they’re slowly working their way up to MH intensity, as the recon passes and dropsondes have suggested.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1882 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:00 pm

Come on Zeta! You are so close!
110 mph & 972 MB
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1883 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:01 pm

Forecaster Berg is the one sending out these updates. I've noticed he's a little more conservative on upgrading storms than some of the others. Stewart would have it as a major right now
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1884 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:01 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Come on Zeta! You are so close!
110 mph & 972 MB

No. It needs to go the other way
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1885 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:01 pm

A buoy has reported 50 knot winds, Zeta will go directly on top of the buoy
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1886 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:02 pm

Could become a major. Wow! Just 1mph shy.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1887 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:02 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Come on Zeta! You are so close!
110 mph & 972 MB

No. It needs to go the other way

True considering the landfall, I feel really bad for Steve
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1888 Postby Hammy » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:02 pm



Is this what helped Wilma reintensify after exiting Florida?
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1889 Postby skyline385 » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:02 pm

This is one of those rare cases when the HWRF turned out to be bearish
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1890 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:03 pm

 https://twitter.com/CC_StormWatch/status/1321542353358913536


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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1891 Postby wx98 » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:04 pm

Looks to come in around Grand Isle/Galliano in about an hour.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1892 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:05 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Come on Zeta! You are so close!
110 mph & 972 MB

No. It needs to go the other way

110 mph or 115 mph, it’s gonna be terrible for SE LA either way. At least this won’t be slow-moving and bring long-lasting winds like Sally.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1893 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:05 pm

 https://twitter.com/NbergWX/status/1321543157356634112


Last edited by GCANE on Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1894 Postby Kazmit » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:05 pm

The marshy Mississippi delta may not do much to weaken Zeta upon landfall, especially with baroclinic forcing.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1895 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:05 pm

History could be in the making with Zeta in this insane 2020 season!
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1896 Postby SoupBone » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:06 pm

Kazmit wrote:The marshy Mississippi delta may not do much to weaken Zeta upon landfall, especially with baroclinic forcing.


It never does, which is why Mississippi gets slammed with systems that take this trajectory.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1897 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:06 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Come on Zeta! You are so close!
110 mph & 972 MB

No. It needs to go the other way

And I need to remember this: No -removed-
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1898 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:06 pm

Kazmit wrote:The marshy Mississippi delta may not do much to weaken Zeta upon landfall, especially with baroclinic forcing.

I noticed the HWRF (or maybe HMON) had Zeta strengthening some after landfall
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1899 Postby MGC » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:07 pm

110 mph....so much for the cooler shelf waters and wind shear. Might just make it to Cat-3....hope not.....MGC
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1900 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:07 pm

Recon reporting eye open from south to southwest.
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