ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#561 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:27 pm

This fellow will be in AF plane that will fly shortly.

 https://twitter.com/JeremyDeHart53d/status/1323071818400411649


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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#562 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:28 pm

AF306 on the runway
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#563 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:31 pm

Kazmit wrote:I just found out it's pronounced EE-tah. Sounds better than EH-tah anyway.

Oh really? Didn't know that. Breaking the trend lol
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#564 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:36 pm

 https://twitter.com/derekortt/status/1323069659852214284


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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#565 Postby ClarCari » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:36 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Kazmit wrote:I just found out it's pronounced EE-tah. Sounds better than EH-tah anyway.

Oh really? Didn't know that. Breaking the trend lol

They are all supposed to be pronounced like that haha. BEE-Tah, ZEE-tah, THEE-tah.

Funny enough Iota is supposed to be pronounced YO-Tah.


One with the force, this Atlantic season is.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#566 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:40 pm

ClarCari wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:
Kazmit wrote:I just found out it's pronounced EE-tah. Sounds better than EH-tah anyway.

Oh really? Didn't know that. Breaking the trend lol

They are all supposed to be pronounced like that haha.
Funny enough Iota is supposed to be pronounced YO-Tah.


One with the force, this Atlantic season is.

I’ve never heard it pronounced EE-tah, ZEE-tah, etc. A quick google search suggests it’s more “AY-tah”
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#567 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:42 pm

Warm spot showing up in the middle of the ball.. eyeball coming soon
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#568 Postby ClarCari » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:43 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
ClarCari wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:Oh really? Didn't know that. Breaking the trend lol

They are all supposed to be pronounced like that haha.
Funny enough Iota is supposed to be pronounced YO-Tah.


One with the force, this Atlantic season is.

I’ve never heard it pronounced EE-tah, ZEE-tah, etc. A quick google search suggests it’s more “AY-tah”


Layman’s english pronounces it like AY-tah. Actually all of the greek letters sounds a bit different in their native tongue. :P

Sometimes I wish we were born in a language that wasn’t as phonetically confusing as english lol.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#569 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:46 pm

probably a cat 2 now.


Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#570 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:48 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#571 Postby Nancy Smar » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:54 pm

AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 0, 149N, 795W, 60, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 30, 90, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 90, 45, 30, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 0, 149N, 795W, 60, 0, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 30, 0, 50, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 90, 45, 30, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 3, 149N, 800W, 60, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 30, 90, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 45, 45, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 3, 149N, 800W, 60, 989, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 30, 0, 50, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 45, 45, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 40, 90, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 50, 90, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 40, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 20, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 80, 60, 110, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 30, 50, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 25, 20, 15, 25, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 48, 140N, 842W, 60, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 130, 70, 50, 100, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 48, 140N, 842W, 60, 0, TS, 50, NEQ, 40, 30, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 60, 140N, 853W, 45, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 130, 60, 40, 80, 0, 0, 0, 55, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 5,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 72, 142N, 865W, 30, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 40, 0, , 0, SRS, 280, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 96, 149N, 884W, 25, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 35, 0, , 0, SRS, 290, 5,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 120, 157N, 885W, 25, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 35, 0, , 0, SRS, 355, 2,
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#572 Postby Highteeld » Sun Nov 01, 2020 8:56 pm

Nancy Smar wrote:
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 0, 149N, 795W, 60, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 30, 90, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 90, 45, 30, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 0, 149N, 795W, 60, 0, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 30, 0, 50, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 90, 45, 30, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 3, 149N, 800W, 60, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 30, 90, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 45, 45, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 3, 149N, 800W, 60, 989, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 30, 0, 50, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 45, 45, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 40, 90, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 50, 90, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 40, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 20, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 80, 60, 110, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 30, 50, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 25, 20, 15, 25, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 48, 140N, 842W, 60, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 130, 70, 50, 100, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 48, 140N, 842W, 60, 0, TS, 50, NEQ, 40, 30, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 60, 140N, 853W, 45, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 130, 60, 40, 80, 0, 0, 0, 55, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 5,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 72, 142N, 865W, 30, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 40, 0, , 0, SRS, 280, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 96, 149N, 884W, 25, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 35, 0, , 0, SRS, 290, 5,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 120, 157N, 885W, 25, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 35, 0, , 0, SRS, 355, 2,

Nice. Just what the doctor ordered.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#573 Postby aspen » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:12 pm

What time in EST is recon expected to arrive? I’m not sure if I want to stay up for the first pass.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#574 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:12 pm

Nancy Smar wrote:
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 0, 149N, 795W, 60, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 30, 90, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 90, 45, 30, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 0, 149N, 795W, 60, 0, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 30, 0, 50, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 90, 45, 30, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 3, 149N, 800W, 60, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 30, 90, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 45, 45, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 3, 149N, 800W, 60, 989, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 30, 0, 50, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 11, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 45, 45, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 40, 90, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 12, 148N, 813W, 75, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 0, 0, 0, 90, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 8,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 90, 50, 90, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 40, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 24, 145N, 826W, 90, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 20, 0, 0, 0, 110, 0, , 0, SRS, 255, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 80, 60, 110, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 30, 50, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 36, 141N, 834W, 100, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 25, 20, 15, 25, 0, 0, 0, 120, 0, , 0, SRS, 245, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 48, 140N, 842W, 60, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 130, 70, 50, 100, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 48, 140N, 842W, 60, 0, TS, 50, NEQ, 40, 30, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 75, 0, , 0, SRS, 265, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 60, 140N, 853W, 45, 0, TS, 34, NEQ, 130, 60, 40, 80, 0, 0, 0, 55, 0, , 0, SRS, 270, 5,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 72, 142N, 865W, 30, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 40, 0, , 0, SRS, 280, 6,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 96, 149N, 884W, 25, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 35, 0, , 0, SRS, 290, 5,
AL, 29, 2020110200, 03, OFCL, 120, 157N, 885W, 25, 0, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 35, 0, , 0, SRS, 355, 2,

Wait is that 100kts official right now... because if this is already a major... I don't want to think about what I'm going to be waking up too :eek: :eek: :eek: or is that the forecast?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#575 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:15 pm

:uarrow: Forecast will be 100 knot peak at 10pm EST based on that.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#576 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:16 pm

This is easily a cat 2 ... and will likely be a beast in the morning and through the day.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#577 Postby SteveM » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:19 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:This is easily a cat 2 ... and will likely be a beast in the morning and through the day.


And it still has another day and a half (roughly) of strengthening, right? Concerning.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#578 Postby us89 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:23 pm

aspen wrote:What time in EST is recon expected to arrive? I’m not sure if I want to stay up for the first pass.


Expected around 06Z apparently, so 1 AM EST.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#579 Postby aspen » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:25 pm

us89 wrote:
aspen wrote:What time in EST is recon expected to arrive? I’m not sure if I want to stay up for the first pass.


Expected around 06Z apparently, so 1 AM EST.

Yeah I’m not staying up for that lol.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#580 Postby wx98 » Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:26 pm

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 02 NOV 2020 Time : 015018 UTC
Lat : 14:57:45 N Lon : 79:46:14 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.5 / 991.8mb/ 55.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.5 3.7 3.7

Center Temp : -76.2C Cloud Region Temp : -70.0C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Subtropical Adjustment : OFF

Extratropical Adjustment : OFF

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION
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