ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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edu2703
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#801 Postby edu2703 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:55 am

10:00 AM EST Mon Nov 2
Location: 14.8°N 81.5°W
Moving: W at 9 mph
Min pressure: 962 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#802 Postby kevin » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:56 am



That tiny eye reminds me of a certain W storm. Luckily it's not as pink as the one in the image below (yet).
Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#803 Postby us89 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:56 am

They went with 95 kt on the advisory. Forecast peak of 120 kt.

:double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#804 Postby NDG » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:57 am

Definitely going for at least a Cat 4 at this rate, another big win by the HWRF.

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Last edited by NDG on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#805 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:57 am

10am up to 95 knots, predicted peak of 120 knots.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#806 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:58 am

NHC saying peak of 140 mph
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#807 Postby Kazmit » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:59 am

Check out that curve back into the NW Caribbean :roll:

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#808 Postby kevin » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:59 am

When even the NHC, who are (for very understandable reasons) usually relatively conservative with RI systems, up their predicted peak to 140 mph you know it's about to go down.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#809 Postby kevin » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:00 am

Kazmit wrote:Check out that curve back into the NW Caribbean :roll:

https://img.techpowerup.org/201102/145713-5day-cone-no-line-and-wind.png


Also notice how the latest forecast doesn't show landfall until 7AM on Tuesday. That still gives it 21 hours until landfall (if I'm correctly assuming that it's all in EST time).
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#810 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:02 am

I think itll between Cat 3 to 4 when making landfall
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#811 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:02 am

This must be at 120kt already. Fastest RI in the Atlantic since Wilma

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#812 Postby Kazmit » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:03 am

HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:I think itll between Cat 3 to 4 when making landfall

It will be there in a couple hours.
Last edited by Kazmit on Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#813 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:03 am

What’s scary is that NHC has the cone as wide as past the Islands of Nicaragua. Which means that in some regard this has a possibility of not being inland for long.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#814 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:03 am

At this rate, recon is probably going to find a sub-940 mbar Category 4 when they finally arrive. Eta seems almost guaranteed to become a Category 5 at this rate — only the second ever recorded in November.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#815 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:04 am

supercane4867 wrote:This must be at 120kt already. Fastest RI in the Atlantic since Wilma

https://i.imgur.com/l6WZIpP.gif

Ummmmm, is the eye temp. at -10C!?

:eek:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#816 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:04 am

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#817 Postby SconnieCane » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:04 am

supercane4867 wrote:This must be at 120kt already. Fastest RI in the Atlantic since Wilma

https://i.imgur.com/l6WZIpP.gif


Oh **** that eye at the end. :eek: :double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#818 Postby SFLcane » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:06 am

Yikes!! This is one to watch folks

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#819 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:06 am

There needs to be Recon in Eta right now!

:wall:
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#820 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:07 am

T7.5 incoming :double:

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