ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#941 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:43 am

The eye is wobbling around pretty dramatically. Indicative of a very rapidly intensifying hurricane.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#942 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:43 am

Speaking of Felix
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#943 Postby underthwx » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:44 am

ETA appears to be built for longevity....I have read several different analysis of the cyclone...and some say that ETA may be active until Veterans Day, the 11th!....
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#944 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:45 am

Yeah I'm changing my prediction to 140kts/925mb... There's nothing really stopping it until landfall at this point. Cat 5 coming...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#945 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:45 am

WSW forward direction needs to shift to SW, in the next 6 hours to match current track..
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#946 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:46 am

NHC needs to put out a special statement
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#947 Postby us89 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:47 am

Lightning in the eyewall now - another classic RI indicator.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#948 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:51 am

Downslope from the Mountains may impart some light Mid-Level shear I think.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#949 Postby storminabox » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:53 am

I wouldn’t be surprised if this was a strong Category 4, nearing Category 5 intensity! The late season storms this year have been UNBELIEVABLE and have been nothing but quality. What a historic season. I still can’t get over the fact that we are seeing a storm like Eta in November!!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#950 Postby Do_For_Love » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:54 am

Sciencerocks wrote:Speaking of Felix


I remember that storm! Man, I kinda miss 2007 right now lol. Can't believe it was 13 years ago.

With all the talk of Cat 5 and everything, it's crazy to think how Felix was the last Atlantic Cat 5 until Matthew in 2016. They didn't used to happen every year...but anyways.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#951 Postby kevin » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:57 am

Haven't been following the storm for a few hours so I know this question must have been asked many times already, but what's the current state with recon? Is there recon underway and if not when is it planned?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#952 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:58 am

The eye REALLY warmed. Latest frames is hard to tell on the eye temp. because it's very small!

Latest GFS model run shows Eta making a Florida Landfall on November 14.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#953 Postby edu2703 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:00 pm

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#954 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:02 pm


Oh come on! This is not helping any.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#955 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:03 pm

Cloud tops cooling to -80C around a lot of the eye now. I’m running out of reasons to say this isn’t at least verging on cat5 without recon around to confirm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#956 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:04 pm



Gotta be kidding me. Probably the strongest storm of the Atlantic Hurricane season happening right now :grr: I know it isn't the Hurricane Hunters fault but man talk about the absolute worst time! Also puts the NHC in a tough spot as far as intensity goes.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#957 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:05 pm

Well recon better get its act together in the next hour or two...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#958 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:05 pm

I'm estimating that the eye temp. is around -16C
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#959 Postby Fancy1001 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:05 pm

Do_For_Love wrote:
Sciencerocks wrote:Speaking of Felix


I remember that storm! Man, I kinda miss 2007 right now lol. Can't believe it was 13 years ago.

With all the talk of Cat 5 and everything, it's crazy to think how Felix was the last Atlantic Cat 5 until Matthew in 2016. They didn't used to happen every year...but anyways.

It seems that really intense storms coming yearly packs. Like you have a few years where you have a lot of intense storms and then a few years where you don't have any or barely any.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#960 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:05 pm

If I had to peg it, I'd say 110 knots right now.

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