ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
NHC has drones that can collect data as well, dont know if they are operational.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:Well recon better get its act together in the next hour or two...
Something went wrong with one of the Recon planes that was supposed to be inside Eta.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
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Winter 2020-2021

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:If I had to peg it, I'd say 110 knots right now.
https://i.imgur.com/VROLBr1.jpg
Just my opinion I think we are well above 110 knots. Probably high-end Cat 4 approaching Cat 5 right now. Small tightly wound Charley type storm. But that's just my opinion.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Oh good, we may finally be able to have Recon inspect Eta.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:Well recon better get its act together in the next hour or two...
How many aircraft do they have?....Is there not a backup aircraft?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Prayers for Central America
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Prayers for recon.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Is the other recon flight going to be on schedule?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Still nothing yet, maybe this afternoon
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
If Eta has kept up its 4.25 mb/hr deepening rate, it is likely around 945-950 mbar right now. Recon could find a sub-940 mbar storm when it arrives in a few hours.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
If it is that strong, does that fact subtly change steering at all? I checked out the steering flow at various levels and it looks like there is some slight variance (in what way, hard for me to tell)
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
From the mesoscale satellite loop: only a few frames with this so far, but starting to look like some deeper convection with > -80 C cloudtops may be trying to establish... would explain why the eye has clouded up a little bit too (for now). Not good.


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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:If Eta has kept up its 4.25 mb/hr deepening rate, it is likely around 945-950 mbar right now. Recon could find a sub-940 mbar storm when it arrives in a few hours.
*If it arrives

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Kazmit wrote:aspen wrote:If Eta has kept up its 4.25 mb/hr deepening rate, it is likely around 945-950 mbar right now. Recon could find a sub-940 mbar storm when it arrives in a few hours.
*If it arrives
What’s the status on the other plane? The one that was supposed to head out at 17z?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:Kazmit wrote:aspen wrote:If Eta has kept up its 4.25 mb/hr deepening rate, it is likely around 945-950 mbar right now. Recon could find a sub-940 mbar storm when it arrives in a few hours.
*If it arrives
What’s the status on the other plane? The one that was supposed to head out at 17z?
Grounded with a maintenance issue. Hopefully taking off soon.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
I tried to extrapolate the NHC cone as of 10AM EST with a physical map of the terrain level of CA and if it manages to be just slightly north of the mountain ranges, it will most likely survive.


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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneEnzo wrote:aspen wrote:Kazmit wrote:*If it arrives
What’s the status on the other plane? The one that was supposed to head out at 17z?
Grounded with a maintenance issue. Hopefully taking off soon.
I thought that was the 15z/10am flight.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
It still feels like October, even though it's November! Eta is a CAT 4 by now.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:NHC still saying 110 mph. . .
They haven't put out their 1PM yet.
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