ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1541 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:02 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is just unreal. And you're telling me this season produced this monster in November??!?

https://i.imgur.com/NCsPvLm.jpg

I never thought that THIS would even HAPPEN!!!

:shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1542 Postby Highteeld » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:02 pm

Approaching T 8.0 (only other storm in the Atlantic to ever do this is Hurricane Gilbert, pressure was recorded at 888 mb there)

Image
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1543 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:03 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:
Highteeld wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:Actually, not even the WPAC produces this kind of CDO very often. Eta resembles a SPAC system more than any other basin. SPAC cyclones are known to produce insanely cold cloudtops.

This. WPAC storms will have more pronounced banding features while SPAC tends to have smaller CDO's but larger area of visible ventilation/spin. Eta is more like SPAC

Reminds me a bit of Winston, though Winston's eye was bigger

I decide to flip it upside down. Looks like Pam

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1544 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:04 pm

RL3AO wrote:Remember August when we were talking quantity over quality? Those were good times.


Honestly, October/November 2020 has been a vastly different hurricane season than the one we saw in August and September.

The Caribbean really overperformed this year.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1545 Postby BYG Jacob » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:04 pm

RL3AO wrote:Remember August when we were talking quantity over quality? Those were good times.

Wait, you mean to tell me early-season activity was more indicative of how favorable conditions would be, and that storms would eventually start to take advantage? Also, that just because we started off with a bunch of tropical storms didn't mean we wouldn't eventually get intense storms?
Last edited by BYG Jacob on Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1546 Postby CyclonicFury » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:04 pm

Only T6.0?? That seems low.
02/2331 UTC 14.3N 82.4W T6.0/6.0 ETA -- Atlantic
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1547 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:05 pm

I'll make this forecast:

Tonight is going to be one of those nights where everyone on this board remembered where they were when recon flew into Hurricane Eta. I think it's going to be one of those kinds of recon results.

The eye is warming at an alarming rate.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1548 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:05 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:Only T6.0?? That seems low.
02/2331 UTC 14.3N 82.4W T6.0/6.0 ETA -- Atlantic

SAB used 6 hour average for FT, which is utter gibberish in the case of ERI
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1549 Postby tolakram » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:06 pm

I'm afraid to look at recon progress for fear they will have to turn around.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1550 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:06 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:Only T6.0?? That seems low.
02/2331 UTC 14.3N 82.4W T6.0/6.0 ETA -- Atlantic

Not surprised lol
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1551 Postby tiger_deF » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:06 pm

tolakram wrote:I'm afraid to look at recon progress for fear they will have to turn around.


Just the words "turn around" in your post made my heart flutter
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1552 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:06 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:I'll make this forecast:

Tonight is going to be one of those nights where everyone on this board remembered where they were when recon flew into Hurricane Eta. I think it's going to be one of those kinds of recon results.

The eye is warming at an alarming rate.


I'm going to go with 914
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1553 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:07 pm

The Gulf of Mexico really is bigger than we thought.
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BYG Jacob

Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1554 Postby BYG Jacob » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:07 pm

supercane4867 wrote:
BYG Jacob wrote:
Highteeld wrote:This. WPAC storms will have more pronounced banding features while SPAC tends to have smaller CDO's but larger area of visible ventilation/spin. Eta is more like SPAC

Reminds me a bit of Winston, though Winston's eye was bigger

I decide to flip it upside down. Looks like Pam

https://i.imgur.com/hf5ppY4.jpg

Pam was a big girl though
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1555 Postby ClarCari » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:07 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:Only T6.0?? That seems low.
02/2331 UTC 14.3N 82.4W T6.0/6.0 ETA -- Atlantic

Since recon is past event horizon for returning (KNOCK ON SERIOUS WOOD) I wouldn’t even care what the Final T#’s are. Well get real info very soon.....(KNOCK ON FRIGGIN WOOD)
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1556 Postby Highteeld » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:07 pm

Pink ring needs to expand a bit to get a manual T 8.0, assuming warming eye

Image
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1557 Postby storminabox » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:08 pm

RL3AO wrote:Remember August when we were talking quantity over quality? Those were good times.


It has been nothing but quality since the beginning of October. The western Caribbean has lived up to its full potential this season. Can’t believe it’s November!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1558 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:08 pm

tolakram wrote:I'm afraid to look at recon progress for fear they will have to turn around.

I would turn back looking at the IR atm. :eek: :double: :lol: Send in the drones instead lol
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1559 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:08 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:I'll make this forecast:

Tonight is going to be one of those nights where everyone on this board remembered where they were when recon flew into Hurricane Eta. I think it's going to be one of those kinds of recon results.

The eye is warming at an alarming rate.


Agreed, this may be the most anticipated recon pass since Patricia in 2015.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1560 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:09 pm

tolakram wrote:I'm afraid to look at recon progress for fear they will have to turn around.


Agreed, I'm just waiting any second for a post to show stating that the Recon flight has suddenly turned around. Everyone on this forum is watching.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.


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