ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3841 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Nov 09, 2020 11:28 pm

Core only needs to reach the 250mb heights for this to become a concern for FL again, as Levi mentioned.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3842 Postby crimi481 » Mon Nov 09, 2020 11:32 pm

Travels with Charley? Not often w. coast Florida is in play
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3843 Postby sponger » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:20 am

For those that were asking, the record for longest November tropical system is 13 days, tied twice. If this makes it to Saturday, a new record. ETA is not done yet.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3844 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:23 am

sponger wrote:For those that were asking, the record for longest November Hurricane is 13 days, tied twice. If this makes it to Saturday, a new record. ETA is not done yet.


Eta is the gift that keeps on giving. Like a bad night out in Vegas. Go take a look at the 00z HMON. Eta wants to welcome Tom Brady to his new home.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3845 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:27 am

So when's the next recon supposed to go out? Or are they all down right now?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3846 Postby ClarCari » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:29 am

Next low-level flight is scheduled to leave 3:30AM CDT.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3847 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:29 am

ClarCari wrote:Next low-level flight is scheduled to leave 3:30AM CDT.

Ah nice. Hopefully there's no issues this time...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3848 Postby crimi481 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:30 am

wow - I see HMON. Is it a Hurricane?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3849 Postby crimi481 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:33 am

Brady can "deflate" Eta - if needed lol
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3850 Postby sponger » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:34 am

Getting that comma shape. Amazing after what we saw what was left this morning.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=29L&product=ir
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3851 Postby bahamaswx » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:43 am

What an interesting little storm.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3852 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Tue Nov 10, 2020 12:59 am

Right in front of my house last night around 11
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4b6SnG ... e=youtu.be
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3853 Postby crimi481 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 1:07 am

Bands forming over Florida. Good gusts here in Venice. Round 2?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3854 Postby caneman » Tue Nov 10, 2020 1:20 am

crimi481 wrote:Travels with Charley? Not often w. coast Florida is in play


We are actually in play often. We just haven't had anything major in awhile
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ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3855 Postby Sanibel » Tue Nov 10, 2020 2:16 am

The pinhole eye is back...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3856 Postby chaser1 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 2:43 am

Beginning to get that creepy feeling ..... again. RI and it's implications could be troubling.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3857 Postby Shell Mound » Tue Nov 10, 2020 2:56 am

wxman57 wrote:
Shell Mound wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:That is a nasty blowup of convection N of the center. Trying to wrap it around. Looks like it's going for H status sooner rather than later, depending on land interaction...
https://i.imgur.com/lo8tuSd.gif

Other than radar data, is there any evidence that this was even close to 55 knots at landfall in the Keys? The Carysfort Reef Light was/is elevated, not at 10 m.


The problem with using radar data is that it measures winds aloft, and those winds aloft are not easily translated down to the surface lacking heavy squalls around the center.

What would you personally estimate as the maximum sustained winds at 10 m in South Florida and/or the Keys?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3858 Postby GCANE » Tue Nov 10, 2020 3:52 am

Massive amount of lightning in the core.
Continuous, rapid-fire vortical hot towers.
Looks stalled out.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3859 Postby GCANE » Tue Nov 10, 2020 4:16 am

Shear dropping.
ULL dissipating from convective debris that fired over Cuba.
Appears to have developed a dryline convective shield.
Dry air pushing east and not able to penetrate into the core.


Image

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3860 Postby GCANE » Tue Nov 10, 2020 4:19 am

Developing a strong cold pool.

Image
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