Ubuntwo wrote:wxman57 wrote:LLC is completely exposed NW of the convection (about where the red dot is). I would say 60 kts is generous for intensity. Maybe 45-50. Could sure use a recon. New GFS keeps Eta a TS longer on Thursday and stalls it farther east before dissipating in in the NE Gulf by Saturday. Where it tracks after Thursday depends on its intensity. Stronger = NNE-NE, weaker = W=NW.
http://wxman57.com/images/EtaCenter.JPG
In all fairness the NHC does not have this at 60kt, that's Theta.
9 am NHC has ETA at 60 mph, correct???