ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#81 Postby underthwx » Wed Nov 11, 2020 6:53 pm

Ryxn wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:Let's see if this one becomes the Cat.5 that we haven't seen this season.


Would be the latest Category 5 by far and only CAT 5 that started as a Tropical Depression in November.

Although Lenny of 1999 came super close.

Not out of the realm of possibilities I guess...at first I thought all the 2020 hocus pocus was just a bunch of hoo haa... but now a part of me is starting to believe it..98L sure looks like it means business...hope I'm wrong
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#82 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:06 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#83 Postby Blown Away » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:11 pm

What’s amazing is the persistent high pressure that keeps these systems bottled up in the Caribbean or GOM.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#84 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:12 pm

I'm about to do a saved loop on 98L, but Gifyu is taking a while to do it :roll:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#85 Postby aspen » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:14 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
aspen wrote:Still waiting on the HWRF run. Given its incredible success predicting storm structure this year, its first run or two should determine whether Iota will have a pinhole, normal-sized, or large core. If it’s predicting another pinhole, then another crazy RIing major is likely.


Pinhole storms are a crazy feature of 2020. (Delta & Eta had pinholes)

Marco, Nana, Gamma, Delta, and Eta were all Caribbean systems with very tiny cores, although only the final two really got to take advantage of them.

It’s like 2020 is persistent to get a Category 5, no matter how long it takes. Hopefully Iota will be the one so it FINALLY calms down for once.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#86 Postby underthwx » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:14 pm

cycloneye wrote:More records about to break.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1326676709001687042

Yessir CE...I think you are right...more records coming
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#87 Postby Spacecoast » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:17 pm

162 days into hurricane season, with 29 named storms.
That's a named storm every 5.5 days.
In 3 days we will be due for another named storm (Iota).

So what comes after Omega?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#88 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:19 pm



The biggest thing that everyone here seems to talk about is a possible CAT 5 in November. But the only other November CAT 5 was in 1932 "Cuba" Hurricane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#89 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:24 pm

Spacecoast wrote:162 days into hurricane season, with 29 named storms.
That's a named storm every 5.5 days.
In 3 days we will be due for another named storm (Iota).

So what comes after Omega?


Hopefully Ana. :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#90 Postby underthwx » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:25 pm

AnnularCane wrote:
Spacecoast wrote:162 days into hurricane season, with 29 named storms.
That's a named storm every 5.5 days.
In 3 days we will be due for another named storm (Iota).

So what comes after Omega?


Hopefully Ana. :lol:

Lol..I second that.... fish storm Ana
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#91 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:26 pm

Spacecoast wrote:162 days into hurricane season, with 29 named storms.
That's a named storm every 5.5 days.
In 3 days we will be due for another named storm (Iota).

So what comes after Omega?


Second post of mine :darrow:
Last edited by Iceresistance on Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#92 Postby Ryxn » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:26 pm

I believe the storms that had the biggest Category 5 potential in order are Eta (which I believe was a CAT 5 for an hour or 2), Laura, Delta, and Teddy but none panned out. Iota is (fingers crossed) the basin's last chance. Don't tempt Kappa to be a freak late-November CAT 5...
Last edited by Ryxn on Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#93 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:27 pm

Spacecoast wrote:162 days into hurricane season, with 29 named storms.
That's a named storm every 5.5 days.
In 3 days we will be due for another named storm (Iota).

So what comes after Omega?


Hebrew names?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#94 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:29 pm

aspen wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
aspen wrote:Still waiting on the HWRF run. Given its incredible success predicting storm structure this year, its first run or two should determine whether Iota will have a pinhole, normal-sized, or large core. If it’s predicting another pinhole, then another crazy RIing major is likely.


Pinhole storms are a crazy feature of 2020. (Delta & Eta had pinholes)

Marco, Nana, Gamma, Delta, and Eta were all Caribbean systems with very tiny cores, although only the final two really got to take advantage of them.

It’s like 2020 is persistent to get a Category 5, no matter how long it takes. Hopefully Iota will be the one so it FINALLY calms down for once.



That is why I called Marco "Micro Marco" :lol:
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#95 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:31 pm

underthwx wrote:
AnnularCane wrote:
Spacecoast wrote:162 days into hurricane season, with 29 named storms.
That's a named storm every 5.5 days.
In 3 days we will be due for another named storm (Iota).

So what comes after Omega?


Hopefully Ana.

Lol..I second that.... fish storm Ana
A fish storm wanda
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#96 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:31 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
aspen wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Pinhole storms are a crazy feature of 2020. (Delta & Eta had pinholes)

Marco, Nana, Gamma, Delta, and Eta were all Caribbean systems with very tiny cores, although only the final two really got to take advantage of them.

It’s like 2020 is persistent to get a Category 5, no matter how long it takes. Hopefully Iota will be the one so it FINALLY calms down for once.



That is why I called Marco "Micro Marco"
Lil marco, lyin ted
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#97 Postby us89 » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:32 pm

Ryxn wrote:I believe the storms that had the biggest Category 5 potential in order are Eta, Laura, Delta, and Teddy but none panned out. Iota is (fingers crossed) the basin's last chance. Don't tempt Kappa to be a freak late-November CAT 5...


Eta probably would have been a cat 5 if we had better planes...
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#98 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:34 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
aspen wrote:Marco, Nana, Gamma, Delta, and Eta were all Caribbean systems with very tiny cores, although only the final two really got to take advantage of them.

It’s like 2020 is persistent to get a Category 5, no matter how long it takes. Hopefully Iota will be the one so it FINALLY calms down for once.



That is why I called Marco "Micro Marco" :lol:
Lil marco, lyin ted


I called Marco 'Micro Marco' after looking at TS Marco in the 2008 ATL season, similar size in 1996 season & this year.
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#99 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:36 pm

Ryxn wrote:I believe the storms that had the biggest Category 5 potential in order are Eta, Laura, Delta, and Teddy but none panned out. Iota is (fingers crossed) the basin's last chance. Don't tempt Kappa to be a freak late-November CAT 5...

Honestly Eta was probably a Cat 5 for a couple hours. It's too bad recon got called back...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#100 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 11, 2020 7:36 pm

Saved loop for 98L

Note the spin

Image
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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