With soon-to-be Iota, 2020 has gone further into the Greek alphabet than 2014 did with its actual name list!
Also, this storm isn't just another "I" name - it will legit be named after the letter "I". It would be the biggest twist ever if 2020 decided to pull off the "I" curse twice and have its most notable storm be "Iota", the 30th named storm of the season in November, but I wouldn't be surprised if it did...
ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Weather Dude wrote:Hoping and praying recon will be more successful with Iota than it was for Eta. Hope they got all those mechanical issues figured out...
Given that they were flying recon into Eta most of the time since then, I doubt that they did.
0 likes
Re: ATL: THIRTY-ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
zhukm29 wrote:With soon-to-be Iota, 2020 has gone further into the Greek alphabet than 2014 did with its actual name list!
Also, this storm isn't just another "I" name - it will legit be named after the letter "I". It would be the biggest twist ever if 2020 decided to pull off the "I" curse twice and have its most notable storm be "Iota", the 30th named storm of the season in November, but I wouldn't be surprised if it did...
Oh the I - rony
I swear if I had read your post back in June, I would've bet the house on it that this would never happen!! I mean, it's like Sci-fi... but now I'd be homeless lol.
Chances are that Iota is going to be a monster and a very high-impact hurricane. November wants to leave us all speechless...
4 likes
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Kazmit
- Category 5
- Posts: 2124
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
- Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:Ubuntwo wrote:Iceresistance wrote:There is one expected Tomorrow
(In 2017, there was Recon heading into Irma from the Leeward Islands, will there be a similar one for 31L?)
No, there isn't recon currently stationed in the islands.
I wished there was. . . They would be there MUCH faster
There's a base in St. Croix, but I don't know why it's not being used right now.
0 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Just took a look at 2 direct hit ASCAT's & this system is already getting stronger very quickly.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
This system is getting tighter in the spin
4 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
The center formed further south than I expected. Unfortunately this will most likely impact the same areas of Central America that were already hammered by Eta. Not only is it likely to be a major++ storm, it also may stall which will cause catastrophic flooding.
0 likes
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
The further south it goes, the higher intensity ceiling and impact potential Iota has. The further north it goes, the higher ACE ceiling it has, and a greater chance of sparing Eta-hit regions.
1 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Jr0d wrote:The center formed further south than I expected. Unfortunately this will most likely impact the same areas of Central America that were already hammered by Eta. Not only is it likely to be a major++ storm, it also may stall which will cause catastrophic flooding.
A stall would not be welcome news for the region...
0 likes
-
shiny-pebble
- Category 1
- Posts: 299
- Joined: Thu Jul 05, 2018 1:38 pm
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
The outflow and banding is really impressive to look at. Really shows the low shear environment it has. Looks even more impressive than Eta did in it's formative stage
0 likes
Not an meteorologist! Just someone who is interested in weather. Please refer to the NHC and local weather officials to make decisions.
-Jack
-Jack
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
aspen wrote:The further south it goes, the higher intensity ceiling and impact potential Iota has. The further north it goes, the higher ACE ceiling it has, and a greater chance of sparing Eta-hit regions.
It's one or the other
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22978
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
I think we're looking at the mid-level center on satellite. It may not be vertically aligned. Any sign that the NHC will upgrade? I nudged my track northward and now h ave it tracking just inland across Honduras. TVCN now misses Honduras and takes it into Belize next Tuesday. NHC will nudge their track north, too, but not to the TVCN on one run.
0 likes
-
ElectricStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 5044
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
- Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:I think we're looking at the mid-level center on satellite. It may not be vertically aligned. Any sign that the NHC will upgrade? I nudged my track northward and now h ave it tracking just inland across Honduras. TVCN now misses Honduras and takes it into Belize next Tuesday. NHC will nudge their track north, too, but not to the TVCN on one run.
Best track is up to 35kts so I think they'll upgrade soon
0 likes
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22978
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Weather Dude wrote:wxman57 wrote:I think we're looking at the mid-level center on satellite. It may not be vertically aligned. Any sign that the NHC will upgrade? I nudged my track northward and now h ave it tracking just inland across Honduras. TVCN now misses Honduras and takes it into Belize next Tuesday. NHC will nudge their track north, too, but not to the TVCN on one run.
Best track is up to 35kts so I think they'll upgrade soon
Afraid so, I just made graphics as a TD... Will have to re-make.
0 likes
-
supercane4867
- Category 5
- Posts: 4966
- Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am
-
Hypercane_Kyle
- Category 5
- Posts: 3352
- Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
- Location: Cape Canaveral, FL
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Iota is rapidly starting to organize.
Very powerful hurricane in the making.
Very powerful hurricane in the making.
7 likes
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:https://i.imgur.com/8kGVUQe.jpg
What does that mean? 31/Iota developing a eye feature?
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: THIRTY - ONE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
The upper level anticyclone is not far away from this. . .
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests