ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

[Hypercane_Kyle]

I don't really know how to put into words what we're seeing with Iota tonight, but I think this picture just sums everything up.



EDIT: Iconic 2000th post for me.

[storminabox]

I don't really know how to put into words what we're seeing with Iota tonight, but I think this picture just sums everything up.

https://i.imgur.com/knpyQ3T.jpg

Second surreal hurricane tracking night of this month. Unbelievable!

[hurricaneCW]

Category 4 confirmed by recon. Likely 140-145mph now and deepening rapidly.

If current trends continue this will go below 920mb with winds near 155-160mph. Very good chance this becomes our first legit Category 5 of 2020...before post-analysis of course.

Eta probably got there first.

[ClarCari]

This is ironically the exact opposite of Eta.

Eta’s satellite and IR presentation got our meteorological pants soaked and the Rare recon we got showed us up...

Now recon that has been consistent has data from Iota that this time are becoming a fever dream...

[NotoSans]

That extrap 931.3mb looks to be associated w/ an eyewall mesovortex based on the pressure trace, but the consistent 935mb found in the light wind center suggests a (still impressive) drop of 8-9mb/hr.

[USTropics]

CDO has really expanded tonight, it's taking on the classical RI buzz-saw effect typical of a September/October system.


This is reminiscent of Lenny in 1999, almost 21 years to the date (and also during a strong La Nina peak).

[us89]

Insane amount of lightning, too. Special advisory almost certainly incoming.

[Owasso]

133kt FL and 116kt SFMR on the NW quadrant.

[galaxy401]

The other S2K users who are all sleeping right now are going to be stunned at the pressure drop when they wake up in the morning. That's a massive drop!

[Owasso]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1328223949726117889

[ClarCari]

Since recon did their 2 passes, they may be finishing up. Butttt the next one should depart in less than an hour, about 1:15 CDT!

[ElectricStorm]

Since recon did their 2 passes, they may be finishing up. Butttt the next one should depart in less than an hour, about 1:15 CDT!

It can't get there soon enough!

[Owasso]

Since recon did their 2 passes, they may be finishing up. Butttt the next one should depart in less than an hour, about 1:15 CDT!

Seriously contemplating just pulling an all-nighter until it arrives.

[ElectricStorm]

Since recon did their 2 passes, they may be finishing up. Butttt the next one should depart in less than an hour, about 1:15 CDT!

Seriously contemplating just pulling an all-nighter until it arrives.

Same here lol. But I got a morning class tomorrow so that may not be the best of ideas...

[bob rulz]

Let's hope we don't see a repeat of the recon issues. They've been doing great with Iota so far!

This is absolutely absurd, I'm going to be staying up doing homework anyway, but it will be hard not to be distracted. Doubt I'll make it to the next recon pass sadly.

[Chris90]

Sub-910 seems possible with the crazy deepening rate that is occurring. Definitely seems like Iota is going for a spot on the Top 10 ATL list though.

Storms brought to you by the letter I are just vicious.

[Nancy Smar]

ZCZC MIATCUAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Hurricane Iota Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020
140 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IOTA HAS RAPIDLY
STRENGTHENED INTO A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...

Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate that Iota
now has maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (225 km/h) with higher
gusts. The minimum pressure measured by the plane was 935 mb (27.61
inches). The updated intensity will be reflected in the next
advisory which will be issued by 400 AM EST.

SUMMARY OF 140 AM EST...0640 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 80.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...225 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Stewart/Zelinsky


NNNN

[Owasso]

Well, 935mb is still an impressive round of a pressure drop in between the two passes. Unreal.

[galaxy401]

The new VDM comments that there is intense lightning in all quadrants. I'm sure that's a big telltale sign of a very rapidly intensifying storm.

[ClarCari]

They wasted 0 time updating this one.

For good reason!