ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

[Iceresistance]

Isn’t it on their way home?

No, moving towards the SW

Right but hey have to head North to get back home don’t they?

Yes, they turn to the north, unless they want to get back in tho

[Kazmit]

I don't think there's ever been a 913 mb cat 4. Closest looks like Opal '95 with 916 mb. So very unlikely that this is a cat 4.

[Owasso]

Isn’t it on their way home?

No, moving towards the SW

Right but hey have to head North to get back home don’t they?

Yeah, I would have expected an exit pass to the north since they've done two passes of the center..

[chaser1]

The two 'big ones' this season were both in November. This season has redefined the idea of the Atlantic late season, I never imagined something like this would be possible (not just Iota but all the late season activity this year).

As I sit here in awe, that statement by Kevin is what I find mind-blowing. The very notion of "beware of November Atlantic hurricane season monsters" just defies our historical knowledge. We are truly watching a hurricane season freak show.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Recon did probably miss the area of highest winds too when it was dodging that island. 140 knots looks right based on the 143 knot SFMR.

If it's not, then 2016's Hurricane Matthew was almost certainly not a Category 5 and should be downgraded re-analysis.

[Kazmit]

It could be close to breaking the Cuba hurricane's record for the strongest November hurricane.

[eastcoastFL]

The two 'big ones' this season were both in November. This season has redefined the idea of the Atlantic late season, I never imagined something like this would be possible (not just Iota but all the late season activity this year).

As I sit here in awe, that statement by Kevin is what I find mind-blowing. The very notion of "beware of November Atlantic hurricane season monsters" just defies our historical knowledge. We are truly watching a hurricane season freak show.

Now I’m wondering if we will be dealing with some forms of tropical systems into the new year...

[storminabox]

This season has desperately tried to produce a category 5 over the last couple months and it looks like we finally got there with Iota! Can’t believe the strongest storm of the season is occurring at this point! Let’s see if the NHC pulls the trigger.

[Iceresistance]

There is more recon coming!

AF304 Mission #7 into IOTA
Type: Unknown | Status: In Progress

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Fresh recon setting up to leave.

[Michele B]

The two 'big ones' this season were both in November. This season has redefined the idea of the Atlantic late season, I never imagined something like this would be possible (not just Iota but all the late season activity this year).

As I sit here in awe, that statement by Kevin is what I find mind-blowing. The very notion of "beware of November Atlantic hurricane season monsters" just defies our historical knowledge. We are truly watching a hurricane season freak show.

Now I’m wondering if we will be dealing with some forms of tropical systems into the new year...

My husband asked me the same question when Iota formed!

[aspen]

It could be close to breaking the Cuba hurricane's record for the strongest November hurricane.

The extrapolated pressure is dropping at a rate of 4-5 mb/hr. By the time the next recon mission arrives, it is highly likely Iota will be no higher than 910 mbar and officially shatter Cuba 1932’s record.

[Owasso]

 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1328329696631795712

[Hypercane_Kyle]

ATCF is going with 135 knots, but that came out before the (more convincing) 143 knot SFMR reading.

[chaser1]

There is no doubt that the eye appears to have contracted further during the last couple of satellite frames.

[TorSkk]

Maybe they will go for another pass

[Nancy Smar]

AL, 31, 2020111612, 03, OFCL, 3, 136N, 820W, 140, 921, HU

[Ryxn]

So will we have to wait for another recon mission before it gets upgraded to CAT 5?

[supercane4867]

CI 7.0

Can't get a more classic 140kt storm than this.

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.0 / 924.0mb/140.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.9 6.9 7.0

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 11 km

Center Temp : +14.9C Cloud Region Temp : -73.7C

Scene Type : EYE

[supercane4867]

AL, 31, 2020111612, 03, OFCL, 3, 136N, 820W, 140, 921, HU

There you go.