ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

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ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1261 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:29 am

This is going to add some ACE points to the total
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1262 Postby skyline385 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:29 am

Anyone got an explanation for what's happening to the SE quad including the CDO?
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1263 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:30 am

Lots of people pre season said this was the year the Caribbean would "wake up". They were correct. The signs were there to see
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1264 Postby Hurricane Mike » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:31 am

Iota also seems aimed at the more populated regions north of the exact landfall location of Eta. Awful.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1265 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:32 am

skyline385 wrote:Anyone got an explanation for what's happening to the SE quad including the CDO?

The SE portion of the CDO is also the coldest part. I think it's just the evolution of the circulation.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1266 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:32 am

skyline385 wrote:Anyone got an explanation for what's happening to the SE quad including the CDO?

Probably some light shear from the SE. iota is strong enough though, and it’s core is well-formed enough that this probably won’t have any effect. Kind of reminds me of Michael reaching cat5
Last edited by cheezyWXguy on Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1267 Postby wxman57 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:32 am

I'm measuring an eye diameter of 8nm or less now. Impressive storm, for mid-September...
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1268 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:32 am

I'm amazed that some of you stayed up all night for this (although probably not quite as amazed as I am at Iota). Talk about DEDICATION. 8-)

Even though she didn't officially get to Cat 5 until morning so you probably didn't really have to. :grrr:
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1269 Postby Shell Mound » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:35 am

supercane4867 wrote:Eye looks better now than it was when last recon finished.

https://i.imgur.com/kgi7kf4.gif

I still think Eta had a better satellite presentation at its peak, along with a smaller, warmer eye and much more symmetric CDO. Eta was likely ~150 knots.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1270 Postby us89 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:35 am

AnnularCane wrote:I'm amazed that some of you stayed up all night for this (although probably not quite as amazed as I am at Iota). Talk about DEDICATION. 8-)

Even though she didn't officially get to Cat 5 until morning so you probably didn't really have to. :grrr:


Nah, that 10 mb drop between passes was worth staying up for.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1271 Postby Hurricane Mike » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:36 am

Video Update on Iota
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqk4HvT929M
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1272 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:36 am

Eye much warmer now

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1273 Postby underthwx » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:37 am

SouthDadeFish wrote:This is terrible. Just terrible. I knew this could happen all along, but to actually see a category-5 hurricane targeting the exact same region that was devastated by Hurricane Eta just 13 days ago hurts. I will be very very happy when this year ends.

It does hurt me too when I think about the fear those in CA have inside of them...hurts me alot...
Last edited by underthwx on Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:47 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1274 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:37 am

+15C on Windy.com
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1275 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:38 am

The HWRF busted badly with Iota’s track and large eye predictions. Surprisingly, it seems like the HMON did the best job with Iota.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1276 Postby chaser1 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:38 am

skyline385 wrote:Anyone got an explanation for what's happening to the SE quad including the CDO?


Seems to me that perhaps Iota may have been undergoing a bit or eyewall contraction. Eye appears smaller with colder tops surrounding the eye a bit more symmetrically then over the last hour or two. Also seems to be better cleared out. After a brief pause following the rapid ongoing deepening, I think a continued (albeit slower) rate of pressure drop may be occurring.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1277 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:38 am



Like, how warm? Windy.com is saying +15C
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1278 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:40 am

Iceresistance wrote:


Like, how warm? Windy.com is saying +15C

Recon measured 25C at flight level a while ago, could be warmer now
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1279 Postby SconnieCane » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:40 am

wxman57 wrote:I'm measuring an eye diameter of 8nm or less now. Impressive storm, for mid-September...


...and **** just froze over, Wxman57 said he was impressed by a storm!
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1280 Postby chaser1 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:41 am

When will next recon be making first fix? I'm guessing we'll see 914/915mb.
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