ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
No double wind maxima and pressure holding steady. All indications suggest intensity stayed flat near 140kt
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
There was a 145 knot wind barb in the SE eyewall
Let's see on the dropsonde results is . . .
Let's see on the dropsonde results is . . .
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NotSparta
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Seems that it fell back to 135kt or so. Not much supporting 140kt anymore
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like they're keeping it at 140 for now
31L IOTA 201116 1800 13.5N 82.3W ATL 140 918
31L IOTA 201116 1800 13.5N 82.3W ATL 140 918
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Interestingly 12z HWRF also doesn’t show any further intensification upon landfall. Could be due to cooler waters left by the upwelling from Eta?
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SouthDadeFish
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
There reaches a point where a TC meets its MPI... And I think you're looking at it. Iota is an incredibly powerful and dangerous hurricane.
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ColdMiser123
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:Interestingly 12z HWRF also doesn’t show any further intensification upon landfall. Could be due to cooler waters left by the upwelling from Eta?
Shear is forecast to increase to around 15 kt just before landfall, that shouldn't be enough to weaken it significantly, but it probably will put a lid on significant further intensification.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
The pressure is even lower!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Weather Dude wrote:Looks like they're keeping it at 140 for now
31L IOTA 201116 1800 13.5N 82.3W ATL 140 918
Until we get data from the NW quad, that’s a safe estimate to go with.
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toad strangler
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
CAT 5
I'm just blown away.
I'm just blown away.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Humidity increasing in eye
Up to 56%
Previous pass at 46%
Last recon was 26%
Could be the signal for an onset EWRC.
Up to 56%
Previous pass at 46%
Last recon was 26%
Could be the signal for an onset EWRC.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Signal issues to AF304 on Tropical Tidbits
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:Signal issues to AF304 on Tropical Tidbits
No there’s not? It’s reporting fine...
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
wx98 wrote:
It was 917 earlier, so not really...
It never got lower than 920 on Recon until now.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:There was a 145 knot wind barb in the SE eyewall
Let's see on the dropsonde results is . . .
That was at FL, which equates to around 132 kts at surface.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like they're going for a NW pass on their way out of Iota.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
wx98 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Signal issues to AF304 on Tropical Tidbits
No there’s not? It’s reporting fine...
I spoke too soon. . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
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Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:wx98 wrote:
It was 917 earlier, so not really...
It never got lower than 920 on Recon until now.
Those earlier drops had wind at the surface (such as 920 with 33 kts of wind = 917 mbar). This was 919 with negligible wind.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
wx98 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:wx98 wrote:It was 917 earlier, so not really...
It never got lower than 920 on Recon until now.
Those earlier drops had wind at the surface (such as 920 with 33 kts of wind = 917 mbar). This was 919 with negligible wind.
True, wind can mess up dropsondes. There is one expected for eyewalls
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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