Texas Winter 2020-2021

[cheezyWXguy]

18z holds with the ntx winter weather

[bubba hotep]

18z holds with the ntx winter weather

This will be interesting to watch as the week goes on. Once established, blocking patterns are more stable and the models generally do better.

[cheezyWXguy]

Here comes round 2 at 330hr...

[Cpv17]

Here comes round 2 at 330hr...

With the motherload of cold air as well.

[Ralph's Weather]

After the last few winters and always one week away I'm not holding my breath. For as much money that I suspect are pumped into these models they sure do like to project the worst only to have nothing materialize of late.

Models got last week's storm right in general as far as amounts. Our issue was the storm hooked north 100 miles too far west.

[wxman57]

You are all in luck. My Canadian wall reinforcement has been halted. I'm sidelined with what appears to be a bad reaction to the second shingles vaccine. In considerable pain 24 hrs a day. Spent most of the last 2 weeks in bed. Just a few brief periods when I can sit here and type. I see the doctor tomorrow to try and diagnose why I'm having so much pain in the shoulder that was operated on 3 weeks ago.

Looking interesting for Texas the next two weekends. GFS has winter weather down to SE TX the following weekend. We'll see...

[rwfromkansas]

I had shingles early due to chemo at 30. It was awful, so sorry you had some terrible reaction to the vaccine to prevent it, plus other pain.

You are all in luck. My Canadian wall reinforcement has been halted. I'm sidelined with what appears to be a bad reaction to the second shingles vaccine. In considerable pain 24 hrs a day. Spent most of the last 2 weeks in bed. Just a few brief periods when I can sit here and type. I see the doctor tomorrow to try and diagnose why I'm having so much pain in the shoulder that was operated on 3 weeks ago.

Looking interesting for Texas the next two weekends. GFS has winter weather down to SE TX the following weekend. We'll see...

[gboudx]

Really sorry to read that wxman57. Hopefully they figure it out and get you relief. I have ankylosing spondylitis and was in pain for weeks. It’s no fun.

[Texas Snow]

And poof it’s gone on the 0z

[Brent]

And poof it’s gone on the 0z

What a shocker

[cheezyWXguy]

And poof it’s gone on the 0z

Definitely not gone. Storm is still there with consistent timing and if anything is a little stronger. The difference is it takes a track along the red river instead of passing south of Waco. Plenty of time for things to change and this is still well within the margin of error so far out.

[Haris]

Why isn’t no one mentioning the cmc

[Haris]

[Brent]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/BzWrq8v/E06-DE8-FB-5-FA5-46-CF-A0-A9-2-BC5-EFDCC4-CE.jpg [/url]

Lol basically no snow in Dallas classic

[Cerlin]

Why isn’t no one mentioning the cmc

Probably because it misses DFW to the south

But in all seriousness, the models seem to be attaching to this system just like they did with last weeks. The question will be about how it develops and if it will result in a more southern or northern track. I’m sure one of these will go DFW’s way...eventually...

[Brent]

Why isn’t no one mentioning the cmc

Probably because it misses DFW to the south

But in all seriousness, the models seem to be attaching to this system just like they did with last weeks. The question will be about how it develops and if it will result in a more southern or northern track. I’m sure one of these will go DFW’s way...eventually...

You would think so but I still remember people saying that in 2017/2018 when it snowed south of us

[Cerlin]

Why isn’t no one mentioning the cmc

Probably because it misses DFW to the south

But in all seriousness, the models seem to be attaching to this system just like they did with last weeks. The question will be about how it develops and if it will result in a more southern or northern track. I’m sure one of these will go DFW’s way...eventually...

You would think so but I still remember people saying that in 2017/2018 when it snowed south of us

Same here, but the persistent blocking pattern looks fantastic and way different than then...I’m cautiously optimistic that if it pans out, we’ll likely have plenty of chances for winter weather.

[harp]

The 0Z GFS looks nothing like the 18Z run. Weird. Not nearly as cold. I guess this is typical.

[cheezyWXguy]

The 0Z GFS looks nothing like the 18Z run. Weird. Not nearly as cold. I guess this is typical.

Temps are different, but the pattern isn’t all that different. The low seems to be a little stronger, but doesn’t dig as far south before its transit across Texas. It’s way too early to be taking surface temps or precip depictions too seriously right now. Consistency in 500mb pattern is most important, and we still didn’t have that even when snow was depicted earlier today. Still a usual amount of run to run variability and 0z really didn’t change anything. Its going to be a few more days before we start digging into the real details as to whether there’s really something here or not.

[Brent]

The Euro looks to have a lot more frozen precip south of Dallas

we better not miss to the south again