Cpv17 wrote:0z Euro is a blowtorch lol
Zero snow below OKC

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Cpv17 wrote:0z Euro is a blowtorch lol
Brent wrote:Cpv17 wrote:0z Euro is a blowtorch lol
Zero snow below OKCwhat a disaster
HockeyTx82 wrote:So how many days out did the models push the cold overnight? Just want to be able to update family as and friends accordingly.
I'm sure they will be asking today.
WacoWx wrote:Ahhhhh the disappointment of being a weather enthusiast. It’s always 200 hrs out. I know this feeling all too well.
Wntrwthrguy wrote:Can anyone explain what is different between the Euro and GFS/Icon/Canadian models that is causing the large discrepancy in the surface temps?
HockeyTx82 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Oh my Goodness, the true definition of a polar vortex in the 2nd week of February.![]()
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https://s2.gifyu.com/images/gfs_T2m_namer_fh168-384.gif
Ridges at Greenland & Alaska by the time the Polar Vortex arrives. (Yes, Pivotal Weather has a Forecast GIF)
https://s2.gifyu.com/images/floop-gfs-2021012706.500h_anom.na.gif
Can Clearly see where the Polar Vortex in February is coming from (Near the North Pole at +240 hours & track on where it goes)
https://s2.gifyu.com/images/gfs_T850a_namer_fh168-384.gif
It will shift east and Texas will go torch by runs tomorrow. Just saying I don't buy it. Seen this play out to many times only to have my heart broken.
wxman57 wrote:I've now gained control of the Canadian model, as well as the European model. I'm getting the GFS to slowly warm. The ICON is a bit stubborn at the end of the run. Trend keeps getting warmer and warmer. However, I've been watching such Arctic outbreaks since the 1970s. I remember a big outbreak in 1993 around Thanksgiving (NFL game had Leon Lett with the bad fumble recovery attempt, losing game for the Cowboys). Models kept trying to drive the Arctic air northward due to unfavorable winds aloft. The American model drove it north to central Oklahoma 3-5 days out. However, the front was well out into the Gulf for that time. Let's see what kind of cold air is moving down the Plains before making any conclusions about next weekend. Maybe by Wed or Thu we'll have better model agreement and a good handle on what's coming.
http://wxman57.com/images/Models00ZFeb7.JPG
Portastorm wrote:WacoWx wrote:Ahhhhh the disappointment of being a weather enthusiast. It’s always 200 hrs out. I know this feeling all too well.
Right! This is why many years ago I used the analogy of Lucy (computer models promising wintry fun) pulling the football (the promise) from Charlie Brown (weather enthusiasts). Looks like Lucy has done it again!
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