VERY interesting scenario maybe unfolding ...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#21 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:15 pm

RNS wrote:thanks...but

NCEP model output become ultra-perfect.... :roll:

LMAO...severely :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

and did you know that hogs can fly as well...


*SF falls out of the chair LMAO*
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
RNS
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 522
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2003 6:29 pm
Location: Saylorsburg PA
Contact:
Contact RNS

#22 Postby RNS » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:17 pm

or as DT would say...NCEP model output is about as useful as tits on a male hog...

:D :D :D :D :D
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#23 Postby Rainband » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:25 pm

RNS wrote:thanks...but

NCEP model output become ultra-perfect.... :roll:

LMAO...severely :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

and did you know that hogs can fly as well...
There was a LMAO comment after the statement. UH think it may have been sarcastic lol :) :wink:
0 likes   
Top
LMolineux
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Jun 14, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Outside of Philadelphia Delaware County Villanova Bryn Mawr Elevation 391'
Contact:
Contact LMolineux

#24 Postby LMolineux » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:33 pm

RNS wrote:thanks...but

NCEP model output become ultra-perfect.... :roll:

LMAO...severely :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

and did you know that hogs can fly as well...


I was joking but none the less NCEP has gotten better but now with the changes in the pattern i am not sure it has adjusted to the new pattern change.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
RNS
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 522
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2003 6:29 pm
Location: Saylorsburg PA
Contact:
Contact RNS

#25 Postby RNS » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:40 pm

i know you were joking...i was just elaborating further on it.

NCEP has gotten much better with NWP output. but it still could use very much improvement.

i was hoping when they merged the paralell runs of the AVN and MRF to form the GFS that most of these issued would be worked out concerning model biases. though at least for now there hasent been much improvement.
0 likes   
Top
LMolineux
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Jun 14, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Outside of Philadelphia Delaware County Villanova Bryn Mawr Elevation 391'
Contact:
Contact LMolineux

#26 Postby LMolineux » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:47 pm

Its all in the initialization of the UNIT imo as they say you put crap in you get crap out ordeal. It comes down to that human error. Then the computer goes on the Human error and it doesnt know the difference because it is told what to do and with that data it has you know. It is the all to common problem of human error.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#27 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:52 pm

LMolineux wrote:Its all in the initialization of the UNIT imo as they say you put crap in you get crap out ordeal. It comes down to that human error. Then the computer goes on the Human error and it doesnt know the difference because it is told what to do and with that data it has you know. It is the all to common problem of human error.


The GIGO principal??? Garbage In, Garbage Out??? :lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   
Top
LMolineux
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Jun 14, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Outside of Philadelphia Delaware County Villanova Bryn Mawr Elevation 391'
Contact:
Contact LMolineux

#28 Postby LMolineux » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:54 pm

Stormsfury wrote:
LMolineux wrote:Its all in the initialization of the UNIT imo as they say you put crap in you get crap out ordeal. It comes down to that human error. Then the computer goes on the Human error and it doesnt know the difference because it is told what to do and with that data it has you know. It is the all to common problem of human error.


The GIGO principal??? Garbage In, Garbage Out??? :lol: :lol: :lol:


HAHA SO TRUE SO TRUE but yes human error.

Reminds me of War Games the movie.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#29 Postby AussieMark » Wed Nov 05, 2003 2:43 am

Looking at that picture you can see that the Central Atlantic and the GOM is domiated by dry air.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 38 guests