Texas Winter 2020-2021

[starsfan65]

GFS Para gives me 10" of snow Monday morning.

For me, in 3 storms I will get 7-10 inches here.

[Ntxw]

18z GFS gets DFW down to -4 after the snow. Who believes it?

[EnnisTx]

18z GFS gets DFW down to -4 after the snow. Who believes it?

I'm your huckleberry.

[dhweather]

18Z GFS is a wee bit chilly.

[DFW Stormwatcher]

Question that ive wondered many times. The high temp plotted by nws for my location is 36 degrees, the actual temp right now is 31 and 32 for alliance or 5 degrees below their hourly projection. The current forecast is based on not reaching freezing until midnight, yet we’ve already reached freezing.

Why is observational data not taken into account when updating the nws forecast?

Clearly northern tarrant county should be included in the wwa. Can they not set WWA’s for portions of counties like thunderstorm warnings? Just curious because schools are trying to plan for tomorrow right now on bad info. Any insight would be appreciated.

[Ralph's Weather]

Para also has more snow in a couple batches later in the week.

[HockeyTx82]

At this rate we all might be tired of cold and snow if this plays out.

Wxman57 will get his revenge in summer.

[rwfromkansas]

Dropped 2 degrees to 32 IMBY so clearly CAA still ongoing as sun goes away.

[WacoWx]

He did in 2011!

[HockeyTx82]

Dropped 2 degrees to 32 IMBY so clearly CAA still ongoing as sun goes away.

I don't think Denton got above 32 today........

[TropicalTundra]

Hope everyone in the metroplex is enjoying these cold 30’s. It’s 50 degrees here. lol

[Brent]

Hope everyone in the metroplex is enjoying these cold 30’s. It’s 50 degrees here. lol

It would be better with snow

I'm feeling somewhat optimistic about the Monday storm but it's still so far away

[rwfromkansas]

Hope everyone in the metroplex is enjoying these cold 30’s. It’s 50 degrees here. lol

It would be better with snow

I'm feeling somewhat optimistic about the Monday storm but it's still so far away

The snow keeps getting pushed back. Saturday looks unlikely now, so hope Monday delivers.

[bubba hotep]

DFW airport back down to 32F, models sowed:

18z 3k NAM - 40F
18z GFS - 42F
18z HRRR - 36F
18z RGEM - 45F

[WacoWx]

Are temps in DFW expected to modify overnight?

Down to 33.3 imby

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Question that ive wondered many times. The high temp plotted by nws for my location is 36 degrees, the actual temp right now is 31 and 32 for alliance or 5 degrees below their hourly projection. The current forecast is based on not reaching freezing until midnight, yet we’ve already reached freezing.

Why is observational data not taken into account when updating the nws forecast?

Clearly northern tarrant county should be included in the wwa. Can they not set WWA’s for portions of counties like thunderstorm warnings? Just curious because schools are trying to plan for tomorrow right now on bad info. Any insight would be appreciated.

NOT a PRO MET, but as I recall from earlier this year, not to mention past events, arctic air is shallow and the rain will fall from higher altitudes that are warmer and the rain warm the lower levels above freezing as it falls. That's the only logical explanation for why they are sticking to the models.

[DFW Stormwatcher]

Question that ive wondered many times. The high temp plotted by nws for my location is 36 degrees, the actual temp right now is 31 and 32 for alliance or 5 degrees below their hourly projection. The current forecast is based on not reaching freezing until midnight, yet we’ve already reached freezing.

Why is observational data not taken into account when updating the nws forecast?

Clearly northern tarrant county should be included in the wwa. Can they not set WWA’s for portions of counties like thunderstorm warnings? Just curious because schools are trying to plan for tomorrow right now on bad info. Any insight would be appreciated.

NOT a PRO MET, but as I recall from earlier this year, not to mention past events, arctic air is shallow and the rain will fall from higher altitudes that are warmer and the rain warm the lower levels above freezing as it falls. That's the only logical explanation for why they are sticking to the models.

I get that concerning the temp at altitude’s above 3000 ft, but their forecast is pushing surface temps in that equation at 2am at one degree higher than the temps are now which are evidently going to be 31 or lower.

The nws mentioned that it would be super cooled raindrops...

[Ralph's Weather]

Hope everyone in the metroplex is enjoying these cold 30’s. It’s 50 degrees here. lol

It would be better with snow

I'm feeling somewhat optimistic about the Monday storm but it's still so far away

The snow keeps getting pushed back. Saturday looks unlikely now, so hope Monday delivers.

GFS and GFS Para show 1 to 2 inhes of snow Saturday for DFW

[Iceresistance]

I got NAMed, twice

[Quixotic]

Question that ive wondered many times. The high temp plotted by nws for my location is 36 degrees, the actual temp right now is 31 and 32 for alliance or 5 degrees below their hourly projection. The current forecast is based on not reaching freezing until midnight, yet we’ve already reached freezing.

Why is observational data not taken into account when updating the nws forecast?

Clearly northern tarrant county should be included in the wwa. Can they not set WWA’s for portions of counties like thunderstorm warnings? Just curious because schools are trying to plan for tomorrow right now on bad info. Any insight would be appreciated.

NOT a PRO MET, but as I recall from earlier this year, not to mention past events, arctic air is shallow and the rain will fall from higher altitudes that are warmer and the rain warm the lower levels above freezing as it falls. That's the only logical explanation for why they are sticking to the models.

Typically, yes that would be the case. I’ve heard mention that droplets for this system might be “super-cooled” in which keeps the amount of latent heat release to a minimum. Anybody feel free to correct me if I’m wrong. Played a big part of the December ‘13 north Texas ice-sleet storm.