Category5Kaiju wrote:tolakram wrote:Out of curiosity, has any pre-season prediction of general tracks been anywhere close to accurate? Every spring we seem to go through some of these discussions with no regard for how any of these have verified in the past. Not that there's anything wrong with analyzing what the models are saying.
I may not be the best person to ask given I am no professional met but rather a 19-year old wx geek who started closely tracking hurricanes in 2018, but what I have heard 2017 started off with a pretty OTS signal but ended up being a devastating landfall year. Of course, 2017 was also expected to be an El Nino year, which do tend to favor OTS tracks. However, then you have La Nina years like 2010 or 2011 where many storms are OTS
I remember there was a period last year that people were talking about a lot of OTS tracks and uh... That didn't happen