ECMWF's latest track is unusual for April but the sample size is small
WPAC: SURIGAE - Post-Tropical
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
02W SURIGAE 210416 0600 9.2N 133.7E WPAC 75 975
ECMWF's latest track is unusual for April but the sample size is small
ECMWF's latest track is unusual for April but the sample size is small
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
Not a good look atm.
https://imgur.com/syfHJTM
Manila as you know has drainage problems or did have as far as i know.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
JW-_- wrote:
Not a good look atm.
https://imgur.com/syfHJTM
Manila as you know has drainage problems or did have as far as i know.
bring that to the reservoirs of Taiwan
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
https://imgur.com/lczjpca
Emanual Tropical Spaghetti Model. The max potential chips ens for this tc look like a bomb with
intensity.
http://wind.mit.edu/~emanuel/storm.html
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
JTWC 1945-2015 Historical TC above (typhoon) path statistics for each month
https://watch.ncdr.nat.gov.tw/watch_monthlytrack.
Been a few go over PI in April.
https://watch.ncdr.nat.gov.tw/watch_monthlytrack.
Been a few go over PI in April.
Last edited by JW-_- on Fri Apr 16, 2021 4:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
Latest Euro run has become a landfall, what a turn of events 
, EPS
, EPS
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
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Meow
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
Tracks by NMC and CWB are more westward now.
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Wikimedia User:Meow
Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
Surigae’s difficulty clearing out its eye and its massive CDO is a lot like Maysak from last year. I wonder why the eye isn’t clearing.
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
Quite a change on the 06z GFS run as well (west)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
The eye is beginning to clear. Now that is a CDO. We should have a clear eye in the next 12 hours.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
There’s finally an early eye on IR.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Iceresistance
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
JTWC has this at 90 mph, High-end CAT 1 Typhoon
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
EC 06Z Catanduanes landfall
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
Well this is bad news. The thing is really getting its act together and hitting the Phillipines, Again.
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I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon
EWRC or an eyewall meld occurring? Whatever is going on in the core is why the eye has yet to clear.
IR presentation has improved since this microwave pass, and the JTWC BT has just upgraded this to a Category 2.
IR presentation has improved since this microwave pass, and the JTWC BT has just upgraded this to a Category 2.
Last edited by aspen on Fri Apr 16, 2021 8:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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