WPAC: SURIGAE - Post-Tropical

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Highteeld
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#601 Postby Highteeld » Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:11 pm

ERC completed, should be on the upswing again.
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https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#602 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:13 pm

It appears the inner eyewall managed to overtake the outer eyewall.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#603 Postby aspen » Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:17 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:It appears the inner eyewall managed to overtake the outer eyewall.

No, that’s just the “debris” from the old inner eyewall. Sometimes it can look like it becomes dominant again, but it’s not. The coldest temp in the massive eye and where it occurs varies wildly in these situations.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#604 Postby Meow » Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:20 pm

CI: 7.5 | DT: 6.0 | MET: 6.5 | PT: 6.5 | FT: 6.5

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The upper-level eye is clearing.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#605 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:21 pm

Ok eye see that now with the microwave pattern that it is just convection being consumed as there is no inner eyewall.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#606 Postby Meow » Sun Apr 18, 2021 2:30 pm

Pretty thick

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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#607 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Sun Apr 18, 2021 2:37 pm

HWRF got its big eye after all :P
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#608 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Apr 18, 2021 3:06 pm

That is a massive eyewall. It is almost (ALMOST NOT ACTUALLY) an annular TC. Spiral bands still attatched to it though.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#609 Postby aspen » Sun Apr 18, 2021 5:20 pm

The new eye is opening up, but Surigae is running out of time before upwelling or shear starts taking a toll. It’s difficult to tell the temp of the eye and the state of the storm’s internal structure, because both the ADT site and the cira.colostate site refuse to update or even show information on Surigae.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#610 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Apr 18, 2021 5:45 pm

aspen wrote:The new eye is opening up, but Surigae is running out of time before upwelling or shear starts taking a toll. It’s difficult to tell the temp of the eye and the state of the storm’s internal structure, because both the ADT site and the cira.colostate site refuse to update or even show information on Surigae.

It's finally updating, lol as if ADT took a break until the ERC completed
2021APR18 213000 6.8 927.1 134.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF 12.49 -75.45 EYE 21 IR 79.9 14.28 -126.51 ARCHER HIM-8 23.4
2021APR18 220000 6.8 927.1 134.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 NO LIMIT ON OFF OFF OFF 0.42 -74.59 EYE 18 IR 79.9 14.34 -126.48 ARCHER HIM-8 23.5
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#611 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Sun Apr 18, 2021 5:49 pm

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1383910374215348225


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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#612 Postby JW-_- » Sun Apr 18, 2021 5:54 pm

Image

Image

ACCESS/UKMET 12z's modeled w / gusts.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#613 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Apr 18, 2021 5:57 pm

Its so close to Annular status
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#614 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Apr 18, 2021 6:28 pm

Guigmoto, Catanduanes

Last edited by mrbagyo on Sun Apr 18, 2021 9:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#615 Postby aspen » Sun Apr 18, 2021 7:32 pm

That is one thicc eyewall.
Image
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#616 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Apr 18, 2021 7:46 pm

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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#617 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Apr 18, 2021 7:47 pm

Interestingly from JMA, Surigae has been a cat 5 equivalent for 36 hours now.
TY2102(Surigae)
Issued at 2021/04/19 00:45 UTC
Analisys at 04/19 00 UTC
Category TY
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center Position N14°5′(14.1°)
E126°20′(126.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slowly
Central pressure 900hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 60m/s(115kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 85m/s(165kt)
50-kt wind area WIDE165km(90NM)
30-kt wind area WIDE440km(240NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#618 Postby doomhaMwx » Sun Apr 18, 2021 8:06 pm

Close-up VIS loop

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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#619 Postby cycloneye » Sun Apr 18, 2021 8:13 pm

Up to 125 kts.

02W SURIGAE 210419 0000 14.3N 126.3E WPAC 125 931
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Re: WPAC: SURIGAE - Typhoon

#620 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Apr 18, 2021 8:13 pm

Quite the difference between JTWC and JMA
02W SURIGAE 210419 0000 14.3N 126.3E WPAC 125 931
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