#83 Postby aspen » Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:20 pm
Hayabusa wrote:aspen wrote:Weather Dude wrote:I don't think anything is going to beat it this year. But there definitely will be more monsters though
Guys, stop giving the tropics a challenge. It never ends well.
It will in time if "man made climate change" is already significant. Prepare for the possibility of the very first operational >170 knots typhoon this decade.
That’s gonna be really difficult without recon, since most Dvorak fixes cap out at T#8.0. It would take a lot to get a storm that actually required a T#8.5 fix, and given how conservative and slow the JTWC is, I highly doubt they would even bother going that high.
I’d say it’s more likely the next operational 175+ kt system is in the Atlantic or EPac, not the WPac.
1 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.