WTNT21 KNGU 202200
RMKS/1.FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 34.4N 53.7W TO 36.3N 54.0W
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 TO 50 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 201800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 34.4N 53.7W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS.
2.REMARKS: A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS SITUATED ABOUT 670
NM NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE THAT
THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS THAT EXTEND A FEW HUNDRED
MILES NORTH OF THE SURFACE CENTER. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND THIS CONVECTIVE TREND
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER
WARMER OCEANIC TEMPERATURES. CONSEQUENTLY, A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION
OR STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE LOW MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, REMAINING WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF
BERMUDA.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
212200Z.//
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