hurricanehunter69 wrote:Should we be concerned about the relative lack of SAL so far?
I always felt like SAL was the most overrated indicator for forecasting Atlantic hurricane activity. Sure it can suppress TCG in the moment. But I remember Michael Lowry mentioning in the past but above-normal levels of SAL in July were actually correlated with more active seasons. Last year we had that record-breaking SAL outbreak in late June, and 2020 was the most active season on record (though not particularly a MDR heavy year, but I don't think the June SAL outbreak had any impact on the peak season activity in the MDR).