ATL: CLAUDETTE - Remnants - Discussion

[Hypercane_Kyle]

My guess is this one will get a name right as its crossing the coastline.

[wxman57]

The NHC could do whatever they like. There was a TS wind, though probably over 100 ft off the water or higher. That would justify an upgrade to TS, if they can justify calling it a TS with such a poorly-defined circulation. They've named worst-looking storms in the past, so I would imagine they'll call this Claudette. Peak intensity may be as it's on its way to Nova Scotia next Monday night.

[HurricaneEnzo]

They have held off this long I don't think this gets a name. Unorganized mess still, just can't pull it together. Impacts will be same either way

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[Aric Dunn]

Plenty of TS winds all over the place( not just this one) even after a reduction.. if one so pleases..

"Site elevation: 3.6 m above mean sea level"

[tailgater]

Okay I’ll be the first To say it hurricane force winds detected by hurricane hunters at 28000 ft,( sorry I couldn’t help myself) now where is my reduction chart

[OuterBanker]

GFS pretty much still nada as it exits east coast.

Euro persistent for several runs and days insists on it popping off the east coast stronger than landfall.

Canadian and Icon somewhere in between.

Let the model wars begin.

Mentioned locally: The remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 are expected to move through eastern North Carolina Sunday and Monday. Specifics are difficult to determine, however there is potential for heavy rain and possible flash flooding, minor coastal flooding, and isolated severe weather.

[ncskywarn]

Raw Recon Data
( * ) Denotes suspect data
Time: 18:45:30Z
Coordinates: 27.817N 88.167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 343.8 mb
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 8,718 m (28,602 ft)
D-value: 480 m
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 186° at 50 kts (From the S at 57.5 mph)
Air Temp: -21.5°C* (-6.7°F*)
Dew Pt: -*
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 56 kts (64.4 mph)

[aspen]

The fact that 35+ kt winds have been confirmed and there does seem to be an LLC (not a very impressive one but a center regardless) makes me less opposed to the possibility of this getting named. It’s apparently closer than I thought it was going to be. Still a garbage, sloppy, rainy system.

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

Raw Recon Data
( * ) Denotes suspect data
Time: 18:45:30Z
Coordinates: 27.817N 88.167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 343.8 mb
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 8,718 m (28,602 ft)
D-value: 480 m
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 186° at 50 kts (From the S at 57.5 mph)
Air Temp: -21.5°C* (-6.7°F*)
Dew Pt: -*
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 56 kts (64.4 mph)

That's at 350mb, which means that it's a measurement of the outflow above the system. I mean, I was totally looking for a bs conversion of that height's wind to the surface due to slight boredom on my end, but that's not really a conversion that can be made.

It's certainly fun to imagine the plane's flying at 850 or 700 mb though

[Hammy]

The NHC could do whatever they like. There was a TS wind, though probably over 100 ft off the water or higher. That would justify an upgrade to TS, if they can justify calling it a TS with such a poorly-defined circulation. They've named worst-looking storms in the past, so I would imagine they'll call this Claudette. Peak intensity may be as it's on its way to Nova Scotia next Monday night.

Are you thinking this remains a tropical system after it exits the coast, or more extratropical by then?

[tolakram]

saved radar loop

[tolakram]

visible loops

https://whirlwind.aos.wisc.edu/~wxp/goes16/grb/meso_vis_sqrt/meso2_60.html

SLIDER floater
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_02&x=956&y=637&z=2&angle=0&im=30&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=band_02&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/cyclonicwx/status/1405972786787536902

[Ubuntwo]

Recorded in a squall, but it's at the surface.

[ElectricStorm]

No upgrade at the new advisory. I'm a bit surprised they didn't pull the trigger

[Hammy]

Given we're not likely to have any further organization before moving onshore, it's highly unlikely at this point we get a name out of this, at least in the Gulf. If it was going to get named it would've been this advisory.

[MarioProtVI]

Seems like NHC didn’t buy that center that was found. Already looks to be getting a bit more ill defined so if it ain’t named at 8 it ain’t becoming Claudette.

[Sciencerocks]

[wwizard]

Seems like NHC didn’t buy that center that was found. Already looks to be getting a bit more ill defined so if it ain’t named at 8 it ain’t becoming Claudette.

And never mind them not naming it, they don't even have enough to call it a depression.

[ElectricStorm]

Looks like it'll have one more chance to get named at the intermediate advisory. If not, then it'll join PTC 10 in 2017 and PTC 17E in the EPAC in 2019 as the PTC's to not actually become a TC