EPAC: DOLORES - Remnants

[Kingarabian]

Legit chance it could be upgraded in the off season. There was Dvorak support, while some agencies couldn't give it a higher number due to constraints.

Even if they don't, all in all it just ran out of time. Or else it was well on its way in becoming a hurricane.

[zeehag]

that was not bad. came into mexicoast at farming /agriculture areas most in need of rain. hopefully the runoffs arenot too strong for the veggies and fruits growing in the river flood plains.. i have only seen one video from the storm..didnot look to be a mayhem. as for the alleged deaths i have heard nothing. usually that kind of news travels faster than lightning

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Dolores
Intermediate Advisory Number 7A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042021
700 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

Corrected header

...DOLORES WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE MEXICAN STATE
OF NAYARIT...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES LIKELY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 104.2W
ABOUT 83 MI...133 KM NW OF GUADALAJARA MEXICO
ABOUT 78 MI...126 KM NE OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal watches and warnings have been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Dolores
was located inland near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 104.2 West.
Dolores is moving toward the north-northwest near 20 mph (32 km/h),
and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On
the forecast track, the center of Dolores will move farther inland
across the Mexican states of Nayarit, Jalisco, and Durango.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional rapid weakening is forecast, and
Dolores is expected to dissipate over west-central Mexico by Sunday.

Surface observations indicate that the minimum central pressure has
risen to 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Dolores can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO
header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web
at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages.

WIND: Wind gusts to near tropical storm force will likely continue
over coastal sections of west-central Mexico to the south of Puerto
Vallarta through this evening.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Dolores will produce heavy rainfall
of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches across
coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan,
Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and southern Sinaloa through the weekend.
This will likely produce life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides.

SURF: Swells generated by Dolores will affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico through the weekend. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Latto

[ElectricStorm]

Legit chance it could be upgraded in the off season. There was Dvorak support, while some agencies couldn't give it a higher number due to constraints.

Even if they don't, all in all it just ran out of time. Or else it was well on its way in becoming a hurricane.

Yeah I agree. Too bad recon couldn't make it in there.

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

Remnants Of Dolores Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042021
400 AM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021

Satellite imagery and limited surface observations indicate that
Dolores has dissipated over the mountainous terrain of central
Mexico. Although a mid-level circulation is evident in satellite
imagery, this structure no longer extends down to the surface.
Therefore, this will be the last NHC advisory on this system.

Although the system has dissipated, the remnants of Dolores remain
capable of producing heavy rainfall over portions of southwestern
and west-central Mexico today, which could produce life-threatening
flash flooding and mudslides. For more information, see products
issued by your national meteorological service.


Key Messages:

1. Heavy rains are forecast over coastal sections of the Mexican
states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and
southern Sinaloa through today, which could result in
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/0900Z 23.5N 103.7W 20 KT 25 MPH
12H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake

[Astromanía]

Well thank you Dolores for the rain, Mexico can now breath a bit

[Astromanía]

So, it end up with three deaths and actually all due to lightning strikes, I didn't expect that