Western Gulf Mess

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St0rmTh0r
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#21 Postby St0rmTh0r » Tue Jun 29, 2021 6:21 pm

AlphaToOmega wrote:Imagine three areas in interest in June
Is this June 29, or is this August 29?

This the most active June I've ever seen. If this is any indication this year gonna make 2020 hold the 24 pack!
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StPeteMike
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#22 Postby StPeteMike » Wed Jun 30, 2021 9:20 am

Know it’s not the mess that was originally being discussed here, but the mess south of the Panhandle FL clearly has what is likely a MLC with it. And the models haven’t been the best in forecasting close development this season.
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#23 Postby tailgater » Wed Jun 30, 2021 9:28 am

StPeteMike wrote:Know it’s not the mess that was originally being discussed here, but the mess south of the Panhandle FL clearly has what is likely a MLC with it. And the models haven’t been the best in forecasting close development this season.

Yeah, I’m watching that area also, clear spin of the MLC from last night’s blow up is starting to build up again and I hoping the ULL south of Miss. coast doesn’t sling it our way. I’m not expecting any development just none of us along the northern gulf coast need any more rain.
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#24 Postby lrak » Wed Jun 30, 2021 10:42 am

I'm also watching this area, the blob in the southern BOC is interesting as well.
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#25 Postby stormhunter7 » Wed Jun 30, 2021 1:34 pm

Whats the low that's due west of Fort Myers in the GOM... pretty good spin!
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#26 Postby tailgater » Fri Jul 02, 2021 8:09 am

Well in case you were bored with the tropics, this area is flaring up again, satellite images showing some rotation west of the heaviest T storms.
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#27 Postby lrak » Fri Jul 02, 2021 8:21 am

tailgater wrote:Well in case you were bored with the tropics, this area is flaring up again, satellite images showing some rotation west of the heaviest T storms.


Same here, tailgater. Looks interesting for sure.
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#28 Postby jaguars_22 » Fri Jul 02, 2021 9:06 am

Definitely looking like it’s getting going down there in the Campeche! Where is this area going to move? Could it develop?
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#29 Postby Nimbus » Fri Jul 02, 2021 11:33 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
Nimbus wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
it is not.. surface obs and radar looking at only about 5 to 8 k feet show there is a broad circ forming.. will it be over water long enough is the only real question.
the coastal shape in the area often aid in the westerly inflow to jump start low level vorticity.


The illusion seems to be centered about latitude 21.55 north near where the pop up thunderstorm is developing? Sat loop was down on Tidbits for a few hours so...


nothing up there.. look almost due east of tampico and that Cape thingy.

of course it will moving NNW over all but there might be a bit of an arc to the motion..


Nope 21.55 the Cape thingy was just a mesovort in a feeder band.
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#30 Postby jaguars_22 » Fri Jul 02, 2021 12:23 pm

Does anyone else think this is looking interesting today? Or is it just day time storms?
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Re: Western Gulf Mess

#31 Postby Nimbus » Fri Jul 02, 2021 3:03 pm

jaguars_22 wrote:Does anyone else think this is looking interesting today? Or is it just day time storms?


Any plunging surface pressures at the buoys?
That area has been boiling away for about a week.
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