WPAC: IN-FA - Post-Tropical

[ElectricStorm]

Looks like a bit of dry air got to the core but it looks to be mixing it out now. I actually like the 95kt estimate from JTWC. Once that dry air gets out it should become a major pretty quickly.

[galaxy401]

Central China is having some major flooding right now. If this typhoon reaches there, that's going to be even worse.

[Sciencerocks]

[mrbagyo]

[Sciencerocks]

[InfernoFlameCat]

Looks like serious dry air right now. Infa being such a large system is what is keeping this system healthy, Dmax is approaching and some serious convection may finally mix said dry air out.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Looks like serious dry air right now. Infa being such a large system is what is keeping this system healthy, Dmax is approaching and some serious convection may finally mix said dry air out.

[mrbagyo]

very slow moving typhoon

[InfernoFlameCat]

very slow moving typhoon
https://i.imgur.com/T55hvPa.gif

Where are you getting the radar because mine is glitched out(RadarScope) app

[mrbagyo]

very slow moving typhoon
https://i.imgur.com/T55hvPa.gif

Where are you getting the radar because mine is glitched out(RadarScope) app

JMA's radar

[R o x]

We're experiencing torrential rainfall at the moment here in Zhunan (close to Hsinchu), coming from the outer band.
Nature must be thankful, lovit.

[sikkar]

Looks like it went under ERC and still trying to recover.

[Sciencerocks]

[aspen]

There looks to be another outer eyewall forming on radar. The combination of attempted EWRCs and dry air infiltration will probably keep In-Fa limited to a moderate Cat 3 at most now, unless it’s able to overcome these in time.

[NotoSans]

Looks like a typical set-up for the “never-ending ERCs” storms.

[cycloneye]

09W IN-FA 210721 1800 23.6N 126.2E WPAC 90 954

[ElectricStorm]

This is looking like it's going to be quite the underperformance. All these ERC's aren't going to help it get any stronger than a Cat 2. The HWRF has been pretty consistent showing In-Fa having a massive eye so maybe that will actually verify after all...

[aspen]

I take back what I said about the HWRF runs.

It seems the HWRF is doing its best to make up for how badly it busted with Elsa (along with every other model to varying degrees). First it successfully predicted RI and a compact annular structure for Felicia, and now it has predicted the peak intensity and core changes of In-Fa.

[Hayabusa]

New JMA peak, looks to be a high end cat 3 to min cat 4

Forecast at 07/23 18 UTC
Category TY
Intensity Very Strong
Center of probability circle N25°35′(25.6°)
E124°0′(124.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slow
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 110km(60NM)
Storm warning area WIDE300km(160NM)

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/1417958529835675649