Texas Summer 2021

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captainbarbossa19
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#241 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:52 pm

AlphaToOmega wrote:https://i.postimg.cc/kghPNxc8/gfs-T2m-us-27.png

https://i.postimg.cc/qBYKFYvZ/gfs-mid-RH-us-27.png

97 F near Dallas and 91 F near Austin on Monday, one can only say that Monday will unbearably hot for many Texans. The humid air will worsen the effects.

https://i.postimg.cc/wB0yQ4r2/gfs-T2ma-us-27.png

And these are below-average temperatures for East Texas...


The below-average temperatures are most likely associated with rain showers. It seems like the wet pattern may not stop in my area long-term for a while.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#242 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 21, 2021 10:17 pm

I've been in Galveston since late Monday Night and I've been surprised/happy at the lack of rain. It was literally moving out as I drove thru Houston at 10pm(nonstop lightning towards the coast) and very little since :lol: today was beautiful and I'm tan now :lol:

Not lookng forward to the heat next week. I'll be back in Tulsa for the weekend :spam:
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#243 Postby cstrunk » Thu Jul 22, 2021 7:39 am

Looks like the oven will finally be switched to high mode soon: 97F forecasted on Saturday. 99F Sunday through Wednesday. We'll see how long it lasts.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#244 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Thu Jul 22, 2021 1:56 pm

cstrunk wrote:Looks like the oven will finally be switched to high mode soon: 97F forecasted on Saturday. 99F Sunday through Wednesday. We'll see how long it lasts.


Most likely temporarily. It looks like the ridge is gradually building towards the east coast. If this happens, things may not be good at peak season for the western Gulf.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#245 Postby AlphaToOmega » Fri Jul 23, 2021 3:27 pm

Some models forecast an area of low pressure to move towards the Gulf Coast, which should be some relief to those in Texas; but it is too early to tell.

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#246 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Jul 24, 2021 11:17 am

Have part of one eye looking that way, but more concerned with the predicted triple digits for the next few days. Feels like temps probably above 108f threshold here in Houston. :double:
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#247 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jul 24, 2021 1:37 pm

I'm expecting temperatures dangerously close to 100 next week . . .
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#248 Postby Brent » Sat Jul 24, 2021 3:44 pm

Iceresistance wrote:I'm expecting temperatures dangerously close to 100 next week . . .


:spam: is it fall yet
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#249 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jul 24, 2021 7:51 pm

Wxman57 has taken revenge on me! It’s getting hotter & muggier!
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#250 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sat Jul 24, 2021 9:05 pm

We've all been spoiled by the relative cooler/wetter weather of recent weeks.

The last week of July and first two weeks of August are climatologically the hottest weeks of the year.

Was hoping for it not to actually come true though.lol
Ugh.
:sun: :roll:
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#251 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Jul 25, 2021 10:08 am

I’m seeing on the last few runs of the gfs that it wants to bring back the weakness over Texas by the end of the first week of august. This allows our rain chances to come back reduces our temps a little, but reaffirms to me that we will need to keep our eyes on the gulf when the Atlantic becomes favorable for TC activity around mid august.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#252 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Jul 25, 2021 3:06 pm

My Weather Radio (Also a Ham Radio) is saying that the temperatures are going to be near 100 Friday (July 30th) & near 101 Saturday (July 31st).


I hope that the tropical system near Florida will come here to push back the Heat Dome . . .
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#253 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Jul 25, 2021 4:38 pm

Really? We had a nice start to the Summer & now this!

Image
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#254 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jul 25, 2021 4:43 pm

The heat domes are strong this year (in the grand scheme) across North America. We couldn't escape it finally.

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1419390838245937158




At least a week's worth of 100s to come.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#255 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Jul 26, 2021 3:14 pm

Latest gfs is showing the return of some rain chances in about 8 days as the high moves west and puts us in NW flow. Hopefully this continues to show up in future runs
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#256 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Jul 26, 2021 6:04 pm

Ntxw wrote:The heat domes are strong this year (in the grand scheme) across North America. We couldn't escape it finally.

https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1419390838245937158

At least a week's worth of 100s to come.


I’ve have yet to reach 100
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#257 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jul 26, 2021 6:45 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Ntxw wrote:The heat domes are strong this year (in the grand scheme) across North America. We couldn't escape it finally.

https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1419390838245937158

At least a week's worth of 100s to come.


I’ve have yet to reach 100


Should easily get there by Sat/Sun as >597dm heights hover over Oklahoma and NTX.

A similar strength ridge produced 110+ and 120+ mover the Pacific NW last month, similar ridge gets most of us around 100. Shows the difference surface feedback can create with drought. Just an interesting thought. But they are also in valleys with little wind, heat sinks.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#258 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Jul 27, 2021 12:01 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Ntxw wrote:The heat domes are strong this year (in the grand scheme) across North America. We couldn't escape it finally.

https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1419390838245937158

At least a week's worth of 100s to come.


I’ve have yet to reach 100


Should easily get there by Sat/Sun as >597dm heights hover over Oklahoma and NTX.

A similar strength ridge produced 110+ and 120+ mover the Pacific NW last month, similar ridge gets most of us around 100. Shows the difference surface feedback can create with drought. Just an interesting thought. But they are also in valleys with little wind, heat sinks.


Several models are now showing a cold front Next Monday, the Weather Radio has a 20% chance of storms Sunday . . .

There is a Heat Warning for Tulsa now . . . & I'm barely in the Heat Advisory . . .

I'm saying that Saturday has the chance, but Sunday has too much clouds . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#259 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jul 27, 2021 3:21 pm

Indeed they are! The models are trending towards the peak of the dome to be late this week. Then a break in the ridge and cooler anomalies for the first few days of August!
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#260 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 27, 2021 9:10 pm

The only good news this week is wow the days are getting noticeably shorter :double: I work dinner most nights and it's really glaring now vs a few weeks ago
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