Blown Away wrote:Shell Mound wrote:NDG wrote:So far through 18 hrs 12z HWRF shows the dry air to the NW of 94L keep pushing west out of the way of 94L.
https://i.imgur.com/2ZDFasQ.png
https://i.ibb.co/C694jJM/Hurricane-1.png
Given the current level of disorganisation, this seems highly unlikely. 94L’s circulation is quite tilted with height, so the HWRF’s solution seems unrealistic.
Yes HWRF tends to overplay intensity, but seems to be remarkably good with the IR Brightness predictions...
But when the HWRF predicts RI and RI actually does occur, oh boy do I think it's arguably the best tool we currently have to see just how powerful a given RI storm could get.