ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Chemmers
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1221 Postby Chemmers » Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:49 am

First tower on ir now near the centre might be signs of organisation if it holds
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1222 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:58 am

ObsessedMiami wrote:Just a comment: As weak and disorganized as Fred is, I am still amazed that a potentially Florida landfalling system is generating so little posting action on here. Weird

Like Elsa, it's a handful of board members with skin in the game for Fred. I put some real skin(money) in the game yesterday on the model thread, looks like the $100 stays with me for now.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1223 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:12 pm

The first few puffs of convection closer to the center.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-02-96-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1224 Postby toad strangler » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:18 pm

Chemmers wrote:First tower on ir now near the centre might be signs of organisation if it holds


Towers or a strip mall?
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1225 Postby Shell Mound » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:21 pm

Has Fred caused extensive damage from flooding in either Haiti or the Dominican Republic? So far casualties seem to be relatively low, fortunately.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1226 Postby bluespiderfl » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:37 pm

Chemmers wrote:First tower on ir now near the centre might be signs of organisation if it holds


I think the "posters" are just lurking (like me) this is only the beginning and honestly (though it should raise concern) a TS doesn't really scare folks in Florida especially if just on the outside of a cone. My thoughts only.... and honestly, i'm really more interested in what's coming behind Fred :-)
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1227 Postby xironman » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:45 pm

Looks like Fred is about to get his groove back.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1228 Postby nativefloridian » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:50 pm

xironman wrote:Looks like Fred is about to get his groove back.
Last edited by nativefloridian on Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1229 Postby BobHarlem » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:50 pm

xironman wrote:Looks like Fred is about to get his groove back.

More convection popping up on the west side, and a bit on the SE.
Image
Last edited by BobHarlem on Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1230 Postby nativefloridian » Thu Aug 12, 2021 12:51 pm

nativefloridian wrote:
xironman wrote:Looks like Fred is about to get his groove back.


Appears that way....looks to be wrapping up and tucking in. Will be interesting to see what he looks like this evening.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1231 Postby Nuno » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:08 pm

Yesterday's 12z HWRF at today's point.

Image
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1232 Postby eastcoastFL » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:08 pm

Looking a little better organized now…a little.

Image
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1233 Postby AtlanticWind » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:35 pm

does have a tight little circulation.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1234 Postby Nuno » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:37 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:does have a tight little circulation.


And in these waters I never write these off. Should be an interesting day ahead to track.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1235 Postby Cat5James » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:42 pm

Next obstacle I'm seeing is that circulation heading west into the Cuban coast.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1236 Postby AtlanticWind » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:48 pm

Cat5James wrote:Next obstacle I'm seeing is that circulation heading west into the Cuban coast.

I dont really see that ,looks like wnw to me.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1237 Postby AtlanticWind » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:49 pm

Looks to have slowed way down.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1238 Postby tropicwatch » Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:51 pm

The next HH is scheduled to take off in about three hours. They might have a more interesting flight then the last one.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1239 Postby alienstorm » Thu Aug 12, 2021 2:03 pm

There is a good amount of shear present.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1240 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Aug 12, 2021 2:14 pm

One of the highest pressures I've seen for a TD
06L FRED 210812 1800 21.1N 75.0W ATL 30 1014
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