ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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xironman
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1501 Postby xironman » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:21 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:
xironman wrote:That is a lot of inflow into the south side. Normally you would think you would not get a relocation, but you never know....

https://i.imgur.com/gMiVhdx.gif

That's a trough axis as this point.


Yes, and your point is?
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1502 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:22 pm

Count the LLC's

Image
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1503 Postby boca » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:24 pm

The weather forecast is going to bust for SE Florida.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1504 Postby xironman » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:26 pm

tolakram wrote:Count the LLC's

https://i.imgur.com/mMVp3eP.png


The winds look pretty weak at 24k ft.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1505 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:26 pm

I see potentially 4. 2 appear to be a trough axis at this point(south and west PLLC, the original, and a fourth that may be developing) I call Potential LLC a PLLC.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1506 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:28 pm

boca wrote:The weather forecast is going to bust for SE Florida.

The rain totals should be halved, at least.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1507 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:29 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
boca wrote:The weather forecast is going to bust for SE Florida.

The rain totals should be halved, at least.

Half of it might come from the ULL :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1508 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:34 pm

tolakram wrote:Count the LLC's

https://i.imgur.com/mMVp3eP.png


follow the convection.. and that is def off the south coast with that vort there.. likely take over.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1509 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:48 pm

Center reformation near 20.9N 79.5W?
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1510 Postby BobHarlem » Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:54 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Center reformation near 20.9N 79.5W?


The NOAA plane is down there right now.

 https://twitter.com/JackSillin/status/1426268291832553476


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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1511 Postby DestinHurricane » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:01 pm

pretty tight consensus there for a Destin area hit.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1512 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:02 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
boca wrote:The weather forecast is going to bust for SE Florida.

The rain totals should be halved, at least.

Half of it might come from the ULL :cheesy:

John Morales has seen enough

https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/sta ... 2223876102
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1513 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:06 pm

xironman wrote:
AutoPenalti wrote:
xironman wrote:That is a lot of inflow into the south side. Normally you would think you would not get a relocation, but you never know....

https://i.imgur.com/gMiVhdx.gif

That's a trough axis as this point.


Yes, and your point is?

There's no actual center...
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1514 Postby psyclone » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:08 pm

Well that's a dramatic change. The 5 pm update should be interesting.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1515 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:10 pm

psyclone wrote:Well that's a dramatic change. The 5 pm update should be interesting.

Good old Fred might be getting his last disco
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1516 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:10 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1517 Postby SFLcane » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:10 pm

From a flood watch to beach weekend. Wow lol

Oops
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1518 Postby Woofde » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:13 pm

It's very hard to make out any areas of rotation with all the convection, but there does appear to be a faint circulation just South of Central Cuba with some South and West winds. Honestly it's just wait and see territory with Fred, too complex and disorganized right now.
https://imgur.com/a/KvzTqeF
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1519 Postby Category6 » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:17 pm

The SE FL luck streak continues!
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1520 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 13, 2021 3:18 pm

SFLcane wrote:From a flood watch to beach weekend. Wow lol

Oops

The sun is shining here, if this continues we might crank out some hefty convection early evening, lets see.
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