Low pressure area north of Bermuda (Is Invest 96L)

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CyclonicFury
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Low pressure area north of Bermuda (Is Invest 96L)

#1 Postby CyclonicFury » Sat Aug 14, 2021 3:07 pm

An area of disturbed weather has formed north of Bermuda. Its 850 mb vorticity signature has rapidly improved in just the last 3 hours. The 12z ECMWF hinted at development of this system as it takes a slow clockwise loop, with a few members even making it a hurricane at a high latitude.
Last edited by CyclonicFury on Sat Aug 14, 2021 7:21 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.

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aspen
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Re: Area of disturbed weather north of Bermuda

#2 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 14, 2021 3:11 pm

This has been on the Euro OP and ensemble models for the last few days now. It should be worthy of a lemon at 8pm.
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Re: Area of disturbed weather north of Bermuda

#3 Postby AlphaToOmega » Sat Aug 14, 2021 6:44 pm

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on the
Remnants of Fred which are expected to re-generate into a tropical
cyclone over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight or Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

1. A small area of low pressure associated with disorganized showers
and thunderstorms has developed more than 200 miles north-northeast
of Bermuda. Some gradual development is possible over this weekend
into early next week as this system drifts slowly southward near
Bermuda over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Re: Low pressure area north of Bermuda

#4 Postby CyclonicFury » Sat Aug 14, 2021 7:21 pm

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