Kohlecane wrote:Don't follow blob of convection...But IR seems to have jogged SW for a frame towards the end in my view, then again is this even real lol
Yes, IR is going to be nearly useless for the next 12-24 hours in terms of deciphering llc track since it likely won’t be all that organized. From what I can tell right now, judging by the low level cloud movement I see on the west side of the system when looking at night vis, it looks like the llc is near the northern edge of the blob. The hwrf’s track through PR and just off the northern coast of DR seems reasonable to me. Although if I were to bet, I would wager it will scrape the northern end, just south of the hwrf track.