ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Sciencerocks]

[TallyTracker]

Potential for waterspouts with the storm cells over Apalachee Bay. That line will be moving north into Franklin and Wakulla Counties.


Special Marine Warning
GMZ730-755-765-775-161745-
/O.NEW.KTAE.MA.W.0275.210816T1608Z-210816T1745Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1208 PM EDT Mon Aug 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...
Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee
River Fl out to 20 Nm...
Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out to 20
Nm...
Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM...
Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM...

* Until 145 PM EDT.

* At 1208 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms capable of producing
waterspouts were located along a line extending from 14 nm
northwest of K Tower to 8 nm southeast of Buckeye Reef to 32 nm
northwest of Cedar Key to 11 nm west of Suwannee River, moving
northwest at 25 knots.

HAZARD...Waterspouts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Waterspouts can quickly form and capsize boats...damage
vessels...and create suddenly higher waves. Make sure all
on board are in a secure location and wearing life
jackets.

* Locations impacted include...
Buckeye Reef, Horseshoe Beach, Marker 24 Barge and Suwannee River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Thunderstorms can produce sudden waterspouts. Waterspouts can easily
overturn boats and create locally hazardous seas. Seek safe harbor
immediately.

[KimmieLa]

Well, kudos to the NHC. They called this area out at least 4-5 days ago for landfall. They are amazing and take all the fun out of tracking, lol. Anyhows, stay safe in Florida.

[TallyTracker]

Looks like the center is gonna make landfall around Cape San Blas/Port St. Joe. Probably in the next 2-3 hours.

[cheezyWXguy]

That southeast side is trying to slowly fill in on radar

[tolakram]

saved loop

[Ian2401]

why is this thread so dead?? you would think a landfalling TC would generate more traffic

[Kohlecane]

Seems that it jumped a tad looking like it wants to go between Mex Beach and PSJ

[tallywx]

why is this thread so dead?? you would think a landfalling TC would generate more traffic

No posters live between Destin and Tallahassee. Ain’t called the Forgotten Coast for nothing.

[drezee]

70 knot Flight Level winds...not dure why recon won't go to the N side where the convection is mixing the winds to the surface.

[CronkPSU]

why is this thread so dead?? you would think a landfalling TC would generate more traffic

oddly this is not unusual, unless it is hitting a major area, almost very thread dies out just before landfall

[Kohlecane]

Thanks to whoever posted Marks live on youtube, tried to scroll through couldn't find it! Been interesting to watch he is in PSJ ATM

[psyclone]

why is this thread so dead?? you would think a landfalling TC would generate more traffic

The answer to this question is human nature and reliably consistent

A.) Most people are primarily interested in storms that are going to bend trees in their neighborhood. Once they're out of contention, the available audience declines.
B.) The remaining audience in hot zone end up with other things to do like storm preps. that further reduces the already vastly smaller audience.
C.) During the storm a weather fanatic is going to be looking out their windows rather than looking at their computer screen
D.) Power outages provide an additional tailwind to this already robust phenomenon.

The answer is so simple it eludes us. If a storm comes my way I won't be on here much if at all...as was the case during Irma. I was on the porch with a bottle of Jack watching the oaks flex.

[Nimbus]

Well, kudos to the NHC. They called this area out at least 4-5 days ago for landfall. They are amazing and take all the fun out of tracking, lol. Anyhows, stay safe in Florida.

They got the tropical storm warnings up yesterday morning early with all the appropriate advisories.
Just enough dry air and shear to keep Fred from becoming a more dangerous storm.

[SunnyThoughts]

NHC bumped winds to 65 mph latest advisory

[psyclone]

Storm cancel! The main page map (which has long been possessed) has wiped out Fred once and for all!

Now he's back! But he ducked out the back door for a good 15-20 minutes

[Sciencerocks]

[SunnyThoughts]

Mark Sudduth and hurricanetrack is live on youtube at Port St. Joe for any interested.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jtUHGvDBfC4

[TallyTracker]

Sustained 46 mph with gusts to 59 mph at the St. George Island bridge being reported.

Tyndall AFB Tower C out in the Gulf south of St. George Island is reporting 52 mph sustained.

[psyclone]

the dry air wrapping in should continue to push those eastern feeder bands into the big bend/ west coast area through the balance of the day. might some waterspout/brief tor risk in those regions