ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2367
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#941 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:24 pm

Grace is starting to get that look...Double ventilated on the north and south end. This thing is going to blow up soon
11 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
IcyTundra
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1205
Joined: Mon Jun 07, 2021 9:32 pm
Location: Dickinson, Texas

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#942 Postby IcyTundra » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:26 pm

Honestly wouldn't be surprised by a double major hurricane landfall along the Yucatan and near or to the south of Tampico.
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#943 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:26 pm

DMIN and looking ragged.

1006 MB
55kt flight level max
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
Nuno
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 597
Joined: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:35 am
Location: Coral Gables, FL

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#944 Postby Nuno » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:26 pm

Are we going to see a special advisory potentially issued? This is certainly not a 50 mph storm no matter how you look at it.
1 likes   
Andrew (1992), Irene (1999), Frances (2004), Katrina (2005), Wilma (2005), Fay (2008), Irma (2017), Eta (2020), Ian (2022)
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#945 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:35 pm

saved loop
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2367
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#946 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:36 pm

tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://imgur.com/dVsbO7n


Looks like the center is just about off the tip of Jamaica
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4097
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#947 Postby Category5Kaiju » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:40 pm

tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://imgur.com/dVsbO7n


Kind of reminds me of Iota before it went nuclear...hopefully Grace does not do that, but unfortunately with such favorable ssts and abundant UOHC, it would not take much at least thermodynamically to become something very bad.
3 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
Top
User avatar
Stormybajan
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 448
Joined: Thu May 20, 2021 3:21 pm
Location: Windward Islands

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#948 Postby Stormybajan » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:42 pm

tolakram wrote:DMIN and looking ragged.

1006 MB
55kt flight level max

Hmm idk...Looks to me on visible its getting that shape , with better out flow and banding
1 likes   
Sad West Indies and Manchester United fan ⚽️
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8818
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#949 Postby aspen » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:49 pm

We should get a minimum pressure reading from the AF302 plane soon, assuming the LLC of Grace is indeed moving offshore right now.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#950 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:51 pm

Comma-shaped appearance on Grace on 1 KM IR, I have a bad feeling about this . . .

Image
2 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#951 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:52 pm

tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://imgur.com/dVsbO7n


That feeder band formed very quickly.
Source is that high CAPE air south of Cuba.
Strong convection will knock out that 355K PV Streamer.
Will open up a big door for intensification once that happens.
Looks like it'll be an easy Cat 1 now.


Imageprograms to take screenshots

Image
3 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#952 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:55 pm

The question was what intensity is it now (when recon arrives). I gather some of you think it has strengthened over land? :)
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#953 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:57 pm

tolakram wrote:DMIN and looking ragged.

1006 MB
55kt flight level max


Plane already finding 1004MB
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#954 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 17, 2021 5:58 pm

Image

Not sure center is over water or not yet.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
Keldeo1997
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 637
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2019 11:35 pm

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#955 Postby Keldeo1997 » Tue Aug 17, 2021 6:01 pm

 https://twitter.com/DerekOrtt/status/1427766693426827266




:double: :double:

Ortt getting very bullish now
0 likes   
Top
MarioProtVI
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 935
Age: 24
Joined: Sun Sep 29, 2019 7:33 pm
Location: New Jersey

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#956 Postby MarioProtVI » Tue Aug 17, 2021 6:05 pm

It juuust emerged offshore. 1004 mb
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#957 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 17, 2021 6:08 pm

Image

And right on cue new convection firing.

Image
5 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#958 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 17, 2021 6:09 pm

tolakram wrote:The question was what intensity is it now (when recon arrives). I gather some of you think it has strengthened over land? :)


Seen it happen a few times over the years
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
skyline385
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2728
Age: 35
Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
Location: Houston TX

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#959 Postby skyline385 » Tue Aug 17, 2021 6:09 pm

Keldeo1997 wrote:https://twitter.com/DerekOrtt/status/1427766693426827266

:double: :double:

Ortt getting very bullish now


NHC been saying that for a while now in their discussions. Its moving into very warm waters with tons of heat content...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Owasso
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 309
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 11:14 pm
Location: Chicago, Illinois

Re: ATL: GRACE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#960 Postby Owasso » Tue Aug 17, 2021 6:10 pm

Image
Dropsonde found 1002mb
5 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2021”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests